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Polaris(PII) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2, sales decreased by 6%, reflecting the ongoing downturn in the power sports industry and increased promotions [7][20] - Adjusted EPS was $0.40, down year over year but above consensus expectations [9][21] - Free cash flow generated was approximately $290 million, marking a strong performance in cash generation [19][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Off-road sales declined by 8%, driven by lower whole goods volume and increased promotions [20][21] - Marine sales increased by 16%, supported by positive shipments of new boats, particularly the entry-level Bennington pontoon [25][100] - On-road sales were down 1%, with Indian motorcycles showing mid-single-digit growth [24][108] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail was flat year over year in Q2, with growth in Ranger crossover and Indian motorcycle segments [10][11] - Dealer inventory levels improved, with Polaris maintaining a DSO of around 110 days, well below historical norms [23][24] - The broader marine industry continues to face pressure from elevated interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty [26][100] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on innovation and operational efficiency, targeting $40 million in operational efficiencies for 2025 [9][38] - A new product, the Polaris Ranger 500, is being launched to capture a segment of customers looking for quality at a lower price point [33][34] - The company is actively working on a four-pronged tariff mitigation strategy to reduce exposure and maintain competitiveness [15][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and consumer spending, which has led to the decision not to reinstate full-year guidance [9][10] - The company remains committed to navigating challenges and positioning itself for long-term success despite the macroeconomic environment [30][39] - There is optimism about emerging stronger from the current downturn, with a focus on cash preservation and operational efficiency [19][28] Other Important Information - The company has seen a significant reduction in expected tariff impacts, with gross tariff costs now estimated between $180 million to $200 million for the full year [15][29] - The company is targeting a 35% reduction in parts sourced from China by year-end, with nearly half of that already achieved [16][18] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company preparing for potential changes in USMCA? - Management is aware of the potential renegotiation of USMCA and is working to reduce sourcing from China while optimizing supply chains in the U.S. and Mexico [41][43] Question: Can the company win at lower price points given current trade policies? - The Ranger 500 is expected to have a better margin profile than its predecessor, and the company is confident in its ability to compete at lower price points [51][52] Question: What is the expected annualized tariff impact next year? - The company estimates an annualized tariff impact of around $230 million, with ongoing efforts to reduce this figure [61][62] Question: How is retail performing month to month? - Retail performance was stable throughout the quarter, with the utility segment holding up well, and management is optimistic about future sales as economic conditions stabilize [76][78] Question: What are the dynamics affecting promotional spending? - Promotional spending is expected to ease as inventory levels improve, but consumers are still looking for deals due to high interest rates [82][90]