DT Midstream(DTM) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, adjusted EBITDA was $277 million, a decrease of $3 million from the previous quarter [12] - The pipeline segment results were $3 million lower than Q1 2025 due to a planned rate step down on the Guardian pipeline and seasonally lower EBITDA from interstate and joint venture pipelines [12] - Total gathering volume for the Haynesville averaged 1.74 Bcf per day, a record throughput for a quarter and a 16% increase over Q2 2024 [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The gathering segment results were in line with Q1 2025, reflecting higher volumes on the Haynesville system, offset by lower volumes in the Northeast [12] - In the Northeast, volumes averaged 1.17 Bcf per day, a decrease from Q1 due to maintenance and timing of producer activity [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The PGM auction cleared at over $329 per megawatt day, a 22% increase from last year's auction, indicating significant power demand growth [9] - The company forecasts a 16 Bcf per day increase in LNG free gas demand through 2035 from facilities accessing the Haynesville system [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance and early outlook for 2026, indicating confidence in growth opportunities [4] - The company is focused on executing a $2.3 billion organic project backlog, with $1.1 billion already reaching FID [17] - The current federal administration is creating a favorable environment for energy infrastructure projects, streamlining approval processes [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a positive shift in the Haynesville region, with private producers becoming more active in response to LNG demand [7] - The company is optimistic about power demand growth driven by electrification, onshoring of manufacturing, and demand for AI computing [8] - Management expressed confidence in achieving the total investment target of $2.3 billion, with a significant portion already committed [14] Other Important Information - The company was upgraded to investment grade by Moody's and S&P, joining Fitch, solidifying its status as a full investment-grade entity [15] - The Board of Directors approved a second-quarter dividend of $0.82 per share, unchanged from the prior quarter, with a commitment to grow the dividend by 5% to 7% per year [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on New York's power generation and Millennium expansion - Management noted strong power demand in New York, with both plants served by Millennium operating at high load factors, indicating a need for additional generation [22] - Positive regulatory changes are being observed, with a recognition of the need for additional infrastructure in the state [23] Question: Haynesville activity and producer responses - Private producers are ramping up activity in the Haynesville, with expectations that public producers will respond to price signals in 2026 and 2027 [25][26] Question: Data center lateral investments - Strong power demand growth is being observed in PJM and MISO, with ongoing utility-scale expansions driven by this demand [30] Question: CapEx for 2025 - Management expects to land within the guidance range for CapEx, with a ramp expected in the second half of the year [38] Question: FID of Guardian and gas sourcing - The customer will procure gas at the Joliet hub, with existing pipelines capable of feeding the hub [41] Question: LNG market dynamics and competitive landscape - The company is expanding delivery point connectivity into the LNG header system, positioning itself for continued demand growth [46] Question: Bolt-on acquisition strategy - The company remains open to bolt-on opportunities that align with its core strategy of growing its pipeline segment [52] Question: Impact of the new federal administration on project permits - The administration is working to reduce friction in large-scale infrastructure investments, which is seen as a positive development for the company [58] Question: 2026 EBITDA guidance and project FID movement - Management reaffirmed confidence in the 2026 early outlook, indicating that project movements are on track [62] Question: Expansion capacity on Nexus and Midwest utilities - Nexus has significant expansion potential, and the company is exploring opportunities to increase egress capacity from Appalachia [78][88]