Exelon(EXC) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Exelon reported operating earnings of $0.39 per share in Q2 2025, down from $0.47 per share in Q2 2024, reflecting a decrease of 8 cents per share [14] - The company remains on track to meet its full-year operating earnings guidance of $2.64 to $2.74 per share [6][17] - Year-to-date performance indicates strong financial results despite significant storm activity and customer relief efforts [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The decrease in earnings was primarily driven by higher distribution and transmission rates, offset by timing issues and costs related to the customer relief fund and storm impacts [14][15] - The company has maintained a robust pipeline for large load, holding firm at over 17 gigawatts, with an additional 16 gigawatts expected to formalize by year-end [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Illinois legislative session concluded without passing an energy omnibus bill, but discussions continue regarding energy efficiency, transmission, and resource planning [9] - The volatility in supply costs and warnings from institutions like NERC and DOE highlight the need for proactive state involvement in energy solutions [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Exelon is focused on investing $38 billion through 2028, with an additional $10 billion to $15 billion identified for transmission work beyond that [13] - The company aims to grow earnings at an annualized rate of 5% to 7% through 2028, supported by a balanced capital strategy [13][21] - Exelon emphasizes the importance of customer-centric solutions, including utility-owned generation and energy efficiency programs to mitigate rising costs [26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate the evolving energy landscape and emphasized the importance of state engagement in energy solutions [10][26] - The management team highlighted the need for certainty and control from states regarding utility-owned generation and energy efficiency initiatives [36][58] Other Important Information - The company has successfully completed nearly 80% of its planned long-term debt financing needs for the year, indicating strong investor demand [20] - Exelon is advocating for legislative changes to lower energy costs for customers, including adjustments to the corporate alternative minimum tax [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Which jurisdiction is most ripe for further action on utility-owned generation or energy efficiency? - Management indicated that various states, including Maryland and New Jersey, are exploring options for utility-owned generation and energy efficiency initiatives [34][36] Question: When can the $10 billion to $15 billion transmission opportunity be expected to move into the base plan? - The company plans to provide clarity on this in Q4, aligning it with ongoing cluster studies and regulatory filings [45][46] Question: Is there a unique opportunity for ComEd related to quantum computing? - Management confirmed that the establishment of a quantum computing campus in Illinois presents significant opportunities for ComEd, with interest from other companies wanting to locate nearby [51][52] Question: Will regulated generation fit into Exelon's model? - Management affirmed that regulated generation could fit into their model, emphasizing the need for certainty and customer benefits [58][60] Question: What is the timeline for large load projects in the pipeline? - Management outlined that 10% of the load is expected to be online by 2028, with further phases progressing thereafter [71] Question: What is the anticipated impact of PJM capacity auction results on customer bills? - Management indicated that BGE customers could see a bill increase of approximately $1.50, with efforts ongoing to mitigate these impacts [73][75]