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Cullen/Frost Bankers(CFR) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, the company reported earnings of $155.3 million or $2.39 per share, compared to $143.8 million or $2.21 per share in the same quarter last year, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.5% in earnings per share [3] - Return on average assets was 1.22% and return on average common equity was 15.64%, compared to 1.18% and 17.08% respectively in the same quarter last year [4] - Average deposits increased by 3.1% to $41.8 billion from $40.5 billion year-over-year, while average loans grew by 7.2% to $21.1 billion from $19.7 billion [4][5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consumer real estate loan portfolio grew by $600 million year-over-year, achieving a growth rate of 22% [7] - Average loan balances in the commercial business increased by $817 million or 4.9% year-over-year, with commercial real estate (CRE) balances growing by 6.8% and energy balances increasing by 22% [8] - The expansion efforts contributed to 37% of total loan growth and 44% of total deposit growth year-over-year [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened its 200th location, indicating a significant expansion in the Austin region [4] - Checking household growth increased at an industry-leading rate of 5.4%, with consumer deposits showing a year-over-year growth of 3.7% [6] - Non-performing assets decreased to $64 million at the end of Q2 from $85 million at year-end, indicating improved credit quality [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to focus on organic growth and expansion in Texas, particularly in high-growth markets like Houston, Dallas, and Austin [65][68] - Management emphasized the importance of protecting the dividend and building capital, with no immediate plans for stock repurchase despite a strong capital position [31][33] - The company is not pursuing inorganic growth through acquisitions, preferring to focus on organic strategies that have proven to be more cost-effective [76][78] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects net interest income growth for the full year to be in the range of 6% to 7%, despite anticipated Fed rate cuts [21] - The company anticipates that the expansion efforts will begin to yield significant earnings accretion in 2026, with a gradual improvement in expense growth rates [41][42] - Management expressed optimism about the economic outlook, suggesting that as clarity improves regarding trade policies, business activity is expected to increase [56] Other Important Information - The net interest margin improved by 7 basis points to 3.67% due to a shift towards higher-yielding loans and securities [15] - The company recorded a net unrealized loss on the available-for-sale portfolio of $1.42 billion, slightly up from $1.4 billion in the previous quarter [16] - The effective tax rate expectation for the full year remains unchanged at 16% to 17% [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the trends in loan pricing and competition? - Management noted increased competition in commercial real estate, leading to price compression, but emphasized the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and protecting the portfolio [28][30] Question: How is the company approaching capital growth and utilization? - The focus remains on building capital and protecting dividends, with no immediate plans for stock repurchase [31][33] Question: When can shareholders expect to see benefits from recent investments? - Management expects significant accretion from expansion efforts starting in 2026, with gradual improvements in expense growth rates [41][42] Question: What is the outlook for deposit growth? - Management is optimistic about deposit growth stabilizing and increasing in the second half of the year, driven by seasonal trends [48][49] Question: How does the company view M&A opportunities? - The company is not interested in inorganic growth, preferring to focus on organic strategies that have proven to be more effective and cost-efficient [76][78]