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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners(CCEP) - 2025 H1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 12:02

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of €10.3 billion for H1 2025, an increase of 2.5% compared to the previous year [24] - Comparable volumes were marginally ahead, up 0.3%, despite challenges in Indonesia [24] - Operating profit increased by 7.2% to €1.4 billion, with an operating margin expansion of approximately 60 basis points to 13.5% [26] - Comparable diluted earnings per share rose by 3.1% on an FX neutral basis [26] - Comparable free cash flow generation was €425 million for H1, with a target of at least €1.7 billion for the full year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core NARTD category grew by more than 5% in the last twelve months, with significant contributions from Monster and other brands [8] - Monster volumes increased nearly 15%, driven by innovation and distribution gains [17] - Fanta Zero volumes grew by around 7%, and Sprite Zero by approximately 13% [18] - The away-from-home business saw a return to volume growth in Q2, supported by better weather and Easter timing [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The European market returned to volume growth in Q2, contributing positively to overall performance [24] - The Philippines market performed well despite strong comparables from the previous year, with a 10 basis point increase in overall value share [12] - Indonesia faced a weaker consumer backdrop, impacting group volumes by around 1% in Q2 [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving profitable revenue growth while maintaining affordability and relevance for consumers [13] - A multiyear view on promotional and pricing strategies is emphasized to create sustainable value [12] - The company is investing heavily in technology and digital capabilities to enhance productivity and efficiency [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the midterm growth objectives, reaffirming full-year profit and cash guidance [40] - The company anticipates volume growth for the full year, particularly in Europe and APS, despite challenges in Indonesia [30] - Management acknowledged the competitive landscape but remains focused on sustainable value creation [70] Other Important Information - The company completed around €460 million in share buybacks and maintained a dividend payout policy of around 50% [7] - The launch of new campaigns, such as "This Is My Taste" for Diet Coke, is expected to drive consumer engagement [32] - The company is transitioning to a partner distributor model in Indonesia to enhance distribution efficiency [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on top line and bottom line growth - Management noted that despite a slight change in revenue guidance, they expect acceleration in the second half driven by volume growth and pricing strategies [44][46] Question: Performance in Europe and away-from-home growth - Management highlighted strong performance in Europe, particularly due to favorable weather and increased consumer engagement in away-from-home settings [52][54] Question: Medium-term growth outlook considering Indonesia - Management indicated that while Indonesia presents challenges, it is a small part of the overall business, and they remain optimistic about long-term opportunities [90] Question: Update on COGS and hedging for 2026 - The company is well-hedged for 2025 and has around 60% hedging in place for 2026, with expectations of flat commodity prices [94] Question: Australian margin turnaround - Management expressed confidence in the Australian business's margin recovery, emphasizing ongoing structural changes and efficiency improvements [99]