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Kennametal(KMT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales for the fourth quarter decreased 5% year over year, with Metal Cutting declining 4% and Infrastructure declining 5% [16][21] - Adjusted EPS declined to $0.34 compared to $0.49 in the prior year quarter [20] - Adjusted EBITDA margin was 14.8%, down from 17.7% in the prior year quarter [18] - Cash flow from operating activities for the year was $208 million, with a full year free operating cash flow of $121 million compared to $175 million in the prior year [12][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Metal Cutting reported an organic sales decline of 4% year over year, with adjusted operating margin decreasing to 7.9% [21][23] - Infrastructure organic sales decreased by 5% year over year, with adjusted operating margin declining to 6.8% [23][25] - Aerospace and Defense grew 1% year over year, while Transportation declined 4% and General Engineering declined 5% [22][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Most end markets experienced mid single-digit declines on a constant currency basis, with Energy declining 6% due to lower activity [11][22] - Aerospace and Defense is expected to see low double-digit growth, while Transportation is projected to decline mid-single digits [13][14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on rightsizing capacity and optimizing its cost structure to address structural cost issues [34][36] - Plans include consolidating operations and maximizing efficiency across all locations, with a target of $125 million in cost savings by 2027 [36][38] - The company aims to maintain flexibility for future recovery while addressing current low volumes [37] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged continued market softness and uncertainty around tariffs impacting global production [10][11] - The outlook for fiscal 2026 includes expected sales between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion, with volume ranging from negative 5% to flat [27] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term prospects of end markets despite near-term challenges [82] Other Important Information - The company returned $122 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [12] - The company has a healthy balance sheet with $840 million of cash and revolver availability at quarter end [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more color on the fiscal year 2026 outlook? - Management indicated a balanced view on the outlook, projecting single-digit declines in certain segments while expecting growth in Aerospace and Defense [40][41] Question: How much of the strategy shift is due to Kennametal's positioning versus macro factors? - Management noted that both structural challenges and market conditions are influencing the strategy, with a focus on sustainable changes [42][44] Question: What is the expected seasonality of earnings for fiscal 2026? - Management expects a normal seasonal pattern with about 40% of EPS in the first half and 60% in the second half [48][51] Question: Are margins expected to improve in fiscal 2026? - Management projected operating margin improvements, although some headwinds from tariffs may compress margins [53][59] Question: How does the company plan to address competitive pressures? - Management emphasized ongoing portfolio optimization and actions to improve performance in low-performing areas [68][70] Question: What is the outlook for the energy end market? - Management expects a flat outlook for energy, with rig counts projected to decline [72] Question: What is the expectation for Aerospace and Defense growth? - Management anticipates stable low double-digit growth in Aerospace and Defense throughout the fiscal year [75]