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Trinseo(TSE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $42 million for Q2 2025, which was below guidance due to unfavorable raw material timing and lower seasonal demand [12][15] - First half 2025 volumes were 13% below the prior year, with significant declines in latex binders, paper and board applications, and automotive applications in North America and Europe [12][13] - The company expects full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA of roughly $200 million, indicating a challenging demand environment [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Engineered Materials adjusted EBITDA was $1 million below the prior year, despite lower volumes being offset by fixed cost reductions and mix improvements [13] - Latex Binders adjusted EBITDA decreased by $9 million year-over-year, primarily due to lower volumes in Europe and Asia and significant pricing pressure [13] - Polymer Solutions adjusted EBITDA was $11 million below the prior year, driven by lower volumes in building and construction and automotive applications [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced high order cancellations early in Q2, linked to geopolitical and trade uncertainties, but noted a significant drop in cancellations as the quarter progressed [6][12] - The demand for recycled plastic products grew by 7% in the first half of 2025, indicating a positive trend in higher value applications [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on controlling fixed costs and working capital while cultivating growth and sustainability platforms, expecting to realize $105 million in EBITDA benefits from self-help actions in 2025 [7][8] - The launch of the fourth generation Voltabond Anode Binder is a key strategic growth platform, with expectations of double-digit growth over the next five years [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted five potential triggers for demand improvement, including trade certainty, interest rate cuts, resolution of military conflicts, regulatory reforms in China, and support for the EU chemical industry [15] - The company remains optimistic about the potential for recovery in demand, particularly in the building and construction and automotive sectors, which have significant pent-up demand [22][24] Other Important Information - The company has made significant progress in reducing working capital by $560 million over the past three years, with a 17-day reduction in the cash conversion cycle [7] - The company released its fifteenth annual sustainability and corporate social responsibility report, reaffirming its commitment to sustainability goals [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on MMA production in Europe - Management stated they continually evaluate assets and prioritize actions based on execution speed, magnitude of benefit, and cost [18][20] Question: Guidance for 2026 EBITDA - Management indicated that resolution of trade uncertainty and lower interest rates could unlock demand, potentially leading to a significant EBITDA improvement [21][24] Question: Impact of polystyrene outages on Amsty business - A mechanical outage in one of the styrene assets had a $5 million impact in Q2, with similar impacts expected in Q3 [26][28] Question: Pricing pressure in latex binders - Management explained that significant pricing pressure in latex was driven by reduced demand in paper and board applications, particularly in China [40][41] Question: Anti-dumping measures in the EU - Management expressed optimism regarding the EU's chemical industry action plan and potential impacts on competition and pricing [49][50]