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Tempus Ai,Inc.(TEM) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 89.6% to $314.6 million, with Genomics revenue rising 115% to $241.8 million driven by volume growth in oncology [4][5] - Quarterly gross profit reached $195 million, reflecting a 160% increase, while adjusted EBITDA improved from negative $16 million to negative $5.6 million [5][6] - Full year 2025 revenue guidance was raised to $1.26 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA forecast of approximately $5 million, indicating a $110 million improvement over the previous year [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Genomics revenue growth was primarily attributed to oncology volume growth, which increased from 20% to 26% [4] - Data and Services revenue grew by 35.7% to approximately $73 million, led by a 41% increase in data licensing from Incyte [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Significant sequential volume growth was observed across the entire oncology testing compendium, with hereditary volumes also exceeding expectations [12][14] - The company is capturing market share from historical players who have reduced their presence in the market, indicating strong tailwinds in the overall space [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining growth while approaching adjusted EBITDA breakeven, with plans to continue investing in growth opportunities [6][43] - There is a strong emphasis on AI and data integration into diagnostics, with expectations that this will transform R&D portfolios and patient care [49][52] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of growth, highlighting the importance of long-term strategies over short-term gains [97] - The company anticipates that reimbursement for MRD (Minimal Residual Disease) testing will occur in 2026, which is expected to significantly boost volumes [58][90] Other Important Information - The company issued $750 million of 0.75% convertible notes to reduce interest expenses and improve cash flow [6] - The data business is expected to grow at around 30% for the year, with Q4 typically being the largest revenue quarter [62] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the strong core genomic volumes in the quarter? - Management noted significant sequential volume growth across oncology testing, driven by sales force efficiencies and technology improvements [12][13] Question: How should we think about the cadence of ASP as you migrate volumes to CDx? - ASPs are expected to see incremental gains as the company approaches its target of migrating 40% of XT volume to CDx by year-end [22] Question: Can you discuss bookings trends for Insights and Trials? - Bookings were strong due to the AstraZeneca Pathos deal, with total contract value up materially [30] Question: What is the pipeline for future partnerships with pharma? - The pipeline remains robust, with no significant pressure from competitors, and the company expects to close large deals in the future [39] Question: How do you balance investments among various parts of the business? - The company aims to maintain discipline in investments while focusing on long-term growth and adjusted EBITDA positivity [43][86] Question: What are the expectations for the back half of the year in the data business? - The data business is expected to grow slightly above 30% for the year, with Q4 anticipated to be the largest revenue quarter [62] Question: How is the liquid biopsy business performing? - The liquid biopsy franchise is growing faster than the market, with a competitive product set [68][70] Question: What is the company's appetite for acquisitions or partnerships? - The company remains opportunistic but disciplined in pursuing acquisitions that align with its strategic goals [78][80] Question: How significant will MRD be in the oncology volumes? - MRD is expected to become a larger part of the business once reimbursement is secured, which will drive unit growth [90][94]