Celanese(CE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is targeting a quarterly EPS run rate of $2, which is considered achievable with concrete plans in place [9][13] - Free cash flow generation is prioritized, with a guide of $700 to $800 million for the year, translating to approximately $7 per share [18][68] - The company reported a sequential negative impact of $25 million in Q3 due to inventory reduction efforts [17][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Engineered Materials segment, there has been a noted weakness in demand from China and Europe, while the Americas remained stable [6][7] - The Acetyl segment is expected to see flat performance compared to Q2, with no significant changes anticipated in the near term [98] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is experiencing the lowest demand levels in the Western Hemisphere for acetyl products in 20 years, with a 5% to 6% decline in volumes compared to the first half of the previous year [72][73] - The visibility of the order book has decreased significantly, with only two weeks of reliable orders in Engineered Materials [58] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on cost structure improvements and executing differentiated business models to achieve its EPS target [9][13] - There is an emphasis on diversifying the Engineered Materials business beyond automotive applications, exploring opportunities in drug delivery, performance footwear, and clean energy [94] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to adapt to changing demand and emphasized the importance of cash generation [18][37] - The company is prepared to pivot with demand changes and is actively working on controllable actions to improve profitability [13][39] Other Important Information - The company is undergoing a divestiture process, with the MicroMax project progressing well and expected to yield positive results in the second half of the year [102] - The company has extended its revolver to 2030, ensuring sufficient liquidity to address upcoming maturities [60][62] Q&A Session Summary Question: What end markets are seeing weakening demand? - Management noted a pullback in China automotive orders and some weakness in European demand, while the Americas remained stable [6][7] Question: How does the company plan to achieve the $2 EPS target? - The company has identified four controllable areas to improve cost structure and pricing, which will help reach the target, albeit potentially delayed [9][13] Question: Are tariffs affecting the tow business in China? - Management confirmed that the tow business in China is not impacted by tariffs as it operates through a joint venture [27] Question: What is the outlook for the acetic acid business in China? - Management indicated that the acetic acid business is currently breakeven and is pivoting towards downstream products for better margins [28] Question: How does the company view the current demand environment? - Management described the demand environment as uncertain, with customers reducing inventories, impacting sales [82][84] Question: What is the status of the MicroMax divestiture process? - The MicroMax process is progressing well, with management confident in achieving positive outcomes in the near future [102]