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SE_2025 年第二季度盈利回顾_Shopee 实现强劲增长,同时通过提升服务质量进一步巩固竞争优势;买入-Sea Ltd. (SE)_ 2Q25 Earnings Review_ Shopee delivers strong growth while further strengthens its moats through service quality push; Buy
SeaSea(US:SE)2025-08-13 02:16

Summary of Sea Ltd. (SE) Earnings Call Company Overview - Company: Sea Ltd. (SE) - Market Cap: $92.8 billion - Enterprise Value: $87.9 billion - Industry: E-commerce, Gaming, Fintech Key Highlights E-commerce (Shopee) - Strong Performance: Shopee's growth in 2Q25 exceeded expectations, with a 25% year-over-year GMV growth in 1H25 expected to continue into 3Q25, suggesting potential upside to the existing 20% guidance for FY25 [1][16] - Service Quality Initiatives: Management emphasized a focus on service quality, including VIP subscriptions and faster deliveries, which are expected to enhance customer loyalty and market leadership [1][17] - Logistics Improvement: Logistics costs in Brazil decreased by 16% year-over-year, with average delivery times reduced by over 2 days [16] - Competitive Positioning: Despite increased competition, Shopee's growth in Brazil remains robust, with management confident in maintaining market share [16][18] Gaming - Revenue Growth: Management raised FY guidance for gaming bookings to grow over 30% year-over-year in 2025, driven by successful IP collaborations [2][22] - Strong User Engagement: Positive reception of collaborations, such as with Netflix's Squid Game and Naruto, indicates strong user engagement and potential for further growth [22] Fintech - Loanbook Expansion: The fintech segment's loanbook grew from $5.8 billion in 1Q25 to $6.9 billion, with significant growth in consumer and SME loans [2][27] - Market Penetration: On-Shopee BNPL penetration is in the mid-teens, with Malaysia surpassing $1 billion in loans, indicating strong market presence [27] Financial Performance - Revenue Estimates: Revenue projections for 2025 increased from $21.1 billion to $22.0 billion, reflecting a 4% increase [28] - EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is projected at $3.8 billion, up from previous estimates, indicating improved profitability across segments [28] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): EPS estimates for 2025 increased to $2.70, reflecting strong earnings growth [28] Valuation and Price Target - Target Price: The 12-month target price is raised from $193 to $206, reflecting a positive outlook based on strong performance and growth potential [3][26] - Valuation Methodology: The target price is based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) analysis, incorporating DCF and EV/Sales metrics [32] Risks and Considerations - Competitive Landscape: Risks include heightened competition, macroeconomic factors, and execution challenges in new markets like Brazil [33] - Market Dynamics: The company acknowledges potential volatility due to the evolving e-commerce competitive landscape [31] Conclusion - Investment Thesis: Sea Ltd. is positioned as a market leader in gaming, e-commerce, and fintech in Southeast Asia and Brazil, with strong growth prospects and a focus on service quality and customer loyalty [30]