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Applied Materials(AMAT) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Applied Materials reported total net revenue of approximately $7.3 billion, an 8% increase year over year, exceeding guidance by about $100 million [19] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 48.9%, up 150 basis points year over year, driven by product mix and pricing strategies [19] - Non-GAAP earnings per share reached a record $2.48, reflecting a 17% year-over-year increase due to revenue growth and share repurchases [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Semiconductor Systems revenue was $5.43 billion, up 10% year over year, with growth in foundry logic and DRAM, partially offset by declines in ICAPS nodes [20] - Applied Global Services (AGS) revenue was $1.6 billion, a 1% increase year over year, with core services growing approximately 10% [21] - Display business revenue was $263 million, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 23.6% [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - China accounted for approximately 35% of revenue in Q3, expected to decrease to about 29% in Q4 due to moderating customer spending [24] - The company is tracking over 100 new fabs or major fab expansion projects globally, a 10% increase from the previous year [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to invest over $200 million in Arizona to establish a state-of-the-art facility for manufacturing specialized components [9] - Applied Materials is focusing on AI leadership, with significant investments in infrastructure and R&D to support advanced manufacturing capacity [8] - The company expects to grow its advanced packaging business to over $3 billion in the coming years, driven by innovations in energy-efficient computing [13][71] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates sequentially lower revenue and earnings in Q4 due to uncertainties in the China business and nonlinear demand from leading-edge customers [5][24] - Despite short-term challenges, the long-term growth thesis for the semiconductor industry remains intact, with expectations for market share gains as new technologies ramp up [17][26] Other Important Information - The company generated approximately $2.6 billion in cash from operations, representing 36% of revenue, and distributed about $1.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [23] - Non-GAAP operating expenses were $1.3 billion, slightly down as a percentage of revenue due to optimized spending [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the incremental source of weakness in the outlook, particularly regarding China and leading-edge logic? - Management indicated that lower visibility in China is expected to persist for several quarters, with a significant backlog of pending export license applications affecting outlook [30][31] Question: Was China significantly stronger than expected in Q3? - Management confirmed that the quarter played out as expected, with no major surprises in the mix, although leading-edge spending was slightly less than anticipated [38][39] Question: What are the expectations for DRAM growth and its sustainability? - Management expressed confidence in strong DRAM growth, expecting it to be either a record or nearly record year, driven by leading-edge customers [85] Question: How is the advanced packaging segment expected to perform? - Management expects steady growth in advanced packaging, with plans to double the business to over $3 billion in the coming years [71] Question: What is the outlook for leading-edge logic and the associated share position? - Management remains confident in their strong position with leading-edge logic customers, expecting significant revenue growth as new technologies ramp [111][114]