蒙牛乳业：H25 初步看法，核心自营运利润（OPM）因现金流改善超预期，尽管液态奶销售持续疲软

Mengniu Dairy (2319.HK): 1H25 First Take: Core OPM beat with improved cash flows despite continued weakness in liquid milk sales; Mengniu reported 1H25 results on 27 Aug, with sales/NP at Rmb41.6bn/Rmb2.0bn respectively, down -6.9%/-16.4% yoy and -3%/-6% vs. GSe Rmb42.8bn/Rmb2.2bn. Core OP (company definition) was up 13% yoy with OPM up 150bps+ yoy to 8.5%, ahead of GSe of 7.6% growth, mainly driven by 1) GPM expansion by 1.5pp in 1H25 (0.7pp higher than GSe) likely due to lower raw milk cost, and 2) strict ...