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2025 年第二季度业绩中期回顾_MSCI 中国指数表现较第一季度改善,而 A 股走弱-2Q25 Earnings Interim Review_ MSCI China Improved vs. 1Q While A-shares Softened
2025-08-31 16:21

Summary of 2Q25 Earnings Interim Review for MSCI China and A-shares Industry Overview - The review focuses on the performance of MSCI China and A-shares during the 2Q25 earnings season, highlighting earnings and revenue results across various sectors. Key Points on MSCI China 1. Earnings Performance: - MSCI China reported earnings largely in line with consensus forecasts, showing a slight miss of -2.4% compared to -3.8% in 1Q25, but a significant beat in weighted surprise at +9.6% compared to +3.1% in 1Q25 [2][13] - 217 constituents out of 557 in MSCI China had reported results as of August 26, 2025 [12] 2. Sector Highlights: - Strong Performers: Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary, and Financials posted solid results [5] - Weak Performers: Energy, Materials, Real Estate, and Utilities missed on both number of companies and weighted earnings [5] 3. Revenue Performance: - Reported revenues missed consensus estimates by -7.9% in terms of the number of companies, but were in line by weighted surprise at +1.3% [22][23] - Better cost control and self-help strategies contributed to the earnings performance despite revenue misses [4] Key Points on A-shares 1. Earnings Performance: - A-shares reported earnings fell short of consensus forecasts by -11.6%, a decline from -4.8% in 1Q25, but were in line by weighted surprise at +0.0% [30][31] - 233 companies in MSCI China A Onshore had reported results, with 146 companies providing reasonable quality data for consensus estimates [29] 2. Sector Highlights: - Strong Performers: Communication Services and Consumer Discretionary showed some positive results, with Communication Services beating both number of companies and weighted surprise [31] - Weak Performers: Materials and Real Estate sectors missed on both measures [32] 3. Revenue Performance: - A-shares reported revenue missed consensus by -22.4% in terms of the number of companies, consistent with 1Q25, but were in line by weighted surprise at -4.7% [39][40] - No sector posted a revenue beat, with significant misses in Energy, Information Technology, Materials, and Real Estate [41] Additional Observations - The earnings season is still in its early stages, and trends may evolve as more companies report [2][30] - The analysis indicates a mixed outlook for the Chinese equity market, with some sectors showing resilience while others struggle to meet expectations [5][31] This summary encapsulates the key findings from the 2Q25 earnings interim review, providing insights into the performance of MSCI China and A-shares across various sectors.