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阿里巴巴_2026 财年第一季度营收同比增长 10%_剔除分拆影响_经调整 EBITANP_低于共识预期
2025-08-31 16:21

Summary of Alibaba Group Holding (BABA.N) FY1Q26 Earnings Call Company Overview - Company: Alibaba Group Holding - Ticker: BABA.N - Fiscal Quarter: FY1Q26 - Date of Call: August 29, 2025 Key Financial Metrics - Total Revenue: Rmb247.7 billion, +2% YoY, below estimates of Rmb252.6 billion and consensus of Rmb253.2 billion [1][2] - Like-for-Like Revenue Growth: +10% YoY when excluding deconsolidated revenues [1] - Non-GAAP Net Income: Rmb35.3 billion, -12.4% YoY, above estimate of Rmb32.1 billion but below consensus of Rmb37.6 billion [1][2] - Adjusted EBITDA: Rmb45.7 billion, -11% YoY, with a margin of 18% [1] - Adjusted EBITA: Rmb38.84 billion, -14% YoY, with a margin of 15.7% [2] Segment Performance - Alibaba China E-commerce Group: Revenue of Rmb140.1 billion, +10% YoY; Adjusted EBITA declined -21% YoY to Rmb38.4 billion [1][2] - Ali International Digital Commerce Group: Revenue of Rmb34.7 billion, +19% YoY, slightly below estimate [1] - Cloud Intelligence Group: Revenue of Rmb33.4 billion, +26% YoY, beating expectations [1][2] - All Others: Revenue of Rmb58.6 million, -28% YoY [1] Margins and Expenses - Sales and Marketing Expenses: Increased by 63% YoY to Rmb53.2 billion, 21% higher than forecast [2] - Adjusted EBITA Margins: - Alibaba China E-commerce Group: 27.4%, down from 38% YoY [1] - Cloud Intelligence Group: 8.8%, flat YoY [1] Notable Highlights - Taobao App MAU: Increased by 25% YoY in the first three weeks of August [2] - 88VIP Members: Reached 53 million, indicating strong customer loyalty [2] - Capital Expenditures: Rmb38.67 billion, exceeding the estimate of Rmb27 billion [2] Management Insights - Investment Focus: Management emphasized investment in quick commerce and food delivery, indicating a competitive landscape [6][7] - Cloud Demand: Positive outlook on customer demand and revenue growth in the cloud segment [7] - Regulatory Environment: Management discussed the impact of intensified competition and regulatory scrutiny [7] Risks and Concerns - Execution Risks: Potential failure in executing the new retail strategy and pressure on investment spending and margins [12] - Market Conditions: Risks associated with a slowdown in user traffic, online GMV, and economic conditions [12] Valuation and Target Price - Current Price: US$119.57 - Target Price: US$148.00, representing a potential upside of 23.8% [4][11] Conclusion - The earnings call presented a mixed financial performance for Alibaba, with strong growth in cloud and international commerce but challenges in the domestic e-commerce segment. The management's focus on investment in quick commerce and cloud services indicates a strategic direction aimed at maintaining competitiveness in a challenging market environment.