Axsome Therapeutics(AXSM) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2, the company achieved a milestone of $150 million in net sales for the first time, with $120 million from Avelity, indicating a trajectory towards $500 million in annualized sales [5] - The company reported a strong balance sheet with over $300 million in cash, positioning it for cash flow positivity [5][6] - The gross-to-net discount for Q2 was in the mid-50s range, showing slight improvement from Q1, and is expected to remain stable for the second half of the year [46][47] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Avelity for major depressive disorder (MDD) is tracking close to $500 million in sales, with peak sales potential estimated between $1 billion to $3 billion [30][31] - Sunosi generated $30 million in sales, with two-thirds of scripts coming from obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) [62] - The newly launched product, Symbravo, recognized approximately $400,000 in sales during its initial weeks [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has expanded its covered lives for Avelity to 83%, with a national direct-to-consumer campaign planned to further increase brand awareness [31][32] - The Medicare channel has shown significant growth, with Rexulti scripts growing over 40% year-over-year, indicating a robust market for Alzheimer's disease agitation treatments [14][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its product portfolio with a robust pipeline, including potential indications for Alzheimer's disease agitation, smoking cessation, ADHD, and binge eating disorder [4][63] - The strategy includes optimizing the sales force by integrating Alzheimer's disease agitation into the existing MDD sales team and potentially expanding into long-term care [27][28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the fundamentals of the company, stating that the current environment is favorable for growth [4] - The company is focused on top-line growth while also improving cash flow, with a significant reduction in losses year-over-year [84][85] Other Important Information - The company is in dialogue with the FDA regarding the submission package for Avelity in Alzheimer's disease agitation, with a focus on providing robust clinical data [18][19] - The patent for Symbravo extends to 2041, providing a strong competitive position in the market [60][61] Q&A Session Summary Question: Are you still on track to file an sNDA for Alzheimer's disease agitation in Q3? - Yes, the company is on track to file [6] Question: What is the commercial opportunity in Alzheimer's disease agitation? - There is a substantial unmet need, with potential peak sales estimated between $1 billion to $3 billion [8][9] Question: How is the sales force structured for Avelity and Alzheimer's disease agitation? - The sales force has expanded to approximately 300 reps, with plans to integrate Alzheimer's disease agitation into the existing MDD team [27][28] Question: What is the expected gross-to-net discount at steady state? - The company expects to maintain a mid-50s gross-to-net discount for the remainder of the year [46][47] Question: What are the goals for the launch of Symbravo? - The focus is on gathering clinician feedback and improving access for patients [49][51] Question: What is the peak sales potential for ADHD indications? - The peak sales potential for ADHD is estimated between $1 billion to $3 billion [71]