钨专家会议：钨价高企，硬质合金需求如何？

Summary of Tungsten Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The tungsten price has significantly increased since the beginning of the year, with tungsten carbide powder prices surpassing 555,000 yuan per ton and medium particle tungsten carbide powder reaching 625,000 yuan per ton. This surge has dampened the purchasing willingness of downstream alloy enterprises, increasing market uncertainty [1][2][3]. Key Factors Driving Tungsten Price Increase - The rise in tungsten prices is driven by three main factors: 1. Policy Constraints: The Ministry of Natural Resources has implemented strict mining quotas, reducing the first batch of mining quotas in 2025 by 6.45% to 58,000 tons, with significant cuts in major production areas like Jiangxi [3][4]. 2. Resource Bottlenecks: Domestic tungsten ore quality has declined from 0.42% to 0.28%, increasing mining difficulty and costs. Environmental standards have also tightened, limiting supply elasticity [4]. 3. Demand Surge: Emerging sectors such as photovoltaics, batteries, and high-end manufacturing are driving strong demand for tungsten [4][5]. Challenges Facing the Tungsten Hard Alloy Industry - The tungsten hard alloy industry is currently facing challenges including: - Price Volatility: Tungsten prices have shown strong upward trends, with prices for 65% grade tungsten concentrate rising from 141,500 yuan per ton to 281,500 yuan per ton since the beginning of 2025 [2]. - Cost Pressures: Rising costs are squeezing profit margins, with some tool products' gross margins dropping below 10% [6][7]. - Increased Competition: A price war has intensified, particularly affecting small and medium enterprises, which struggle to survive amid rising costs and declining demand [6][7][9]. Strategic Responses from Hard Alloy Enterprises - To cope with cost pressures, hard alloy enterprises should: - Innovate Technologically: Improve production efficiency and product value through technological advancements [5][12]. - Strengthen Supply Chain Management: Establish long-term relationships with suppliers to lock in raw material prices and mitigate market volatility [5][17]. - Invest in Environmental Technologies: Enhance environmental compliance and reduce costs through better waste management practices [5][13]. Future Trends in the Tungsten Hard Alloy Industry - The industry is expected to experience a dual-track development in pricing and technology. Global strategic reserves and export controls will maintain high tungsten resource prices, while demand from new energy and high-end manufacturing sectors will drive technological innovation [8][20]. Downstream Demand and Market Dynamics - Traditional manufacturing sectors are experiencing weak demand for tungsten hard alloys, with orders declining by 10% to 15%. However, emerging industries like aerospace and new energy are showing growth potential [11][22]. - The structure of downstream applications for hard alloys includes cutting tools (45%), wear-resistant tools (27%), and mining tools (25%) [23]. International Market and Future Demand - Overseas demand for tungsten is projected to grow, driven by global supply chain restructuring and increased military needs. The military sector's demand is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 7% to 9% from 2025 to 2027 [24][30]. Conclusion - The tungsten hard alloy industry is navigating a complex landscape characterized by rising prices, increased competition, and evolving demand dynamics. Companies must adapt through innovation, strategic partnerships, and effective supply chain management to thrive in this challenging environment [1][8][20].