2025-09-17 00:50Summary of CDMO Industry Analysis and Outlook (2025 H1) Industry Overview - The CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) industry demonstrated strong performance in the first half of 2025, achieving double-digit revenue growth and over 50% year-on-year net profit increase, with non-GAAP net profit growth nearing 30% driven by accelerated orders, increased demand for innovative drugs, and enhanced international influence [1][3][11]. Key Insights - Performance Comparison: CDMO outperformed CRO (Contract Research Organization) in terms of order resilience and fulfillment rates. While CRO faced challenges, it is expected to improve in the second half of the year as price competition eases and new orders emerge [1][4]. - Order Concentration: Orders are increasingly concentrated among leading companies such as WuXi AppTec, Hualan Biological Engineering, and Kelun Pharmaceutical [1][4]. - Valuation Trends: The pharmaceutical sector's valuation is currently at a historical low following geopolitical pressures in 2024, indicating potential for upward elasticity. Leading companies like WuXi AppTec and TaiGen Biotechnology have seen significant order growth, with WuXi's orders up 37% and TaiGen's nearly 150% [1][5]. - Investment Climate: Global investment and financing remained stable in the first seven months of 2025 compared to the previous year, with a 20% increase in July. Domestic investment is recovering, supported by new listing standards for innovative drug companies [1][6][7]. Market Dynamics - Clinical Trials: The proportion of clinical trials conducted by Chinese innovative drug companies has risen from under 10% in 2016 to approximately 28% in 2023, with oncology drugs increasing from 15% to 35.5%, indicating China's growing position in the global pharmaceutical supply chain [1][8]. - Future Projections: Goldman Sachs projects that by around 2030, Chinese innovative drugs could account for 30% of FDA approvals, suggesting significant commercial transformation and global influence [1][8]. Company-Specific Performance - WuXi AppTec: In the first half of 2025, WuXi AppTec's revenue grew by 20%, with a non-GAAP growth of 26%. The company reported a 37% increase in orders, driven by strong demand, and plans to allocate 70%-80% of capital expenditures to expansion in the U.S., Switzerland, and Singapore [1][11]. - Kelun Pharmaceutical: Kelun's revenue increased by 15% in the first half of 2025, with adjusted net profit growth nearing 10%. The company is showing strong resilience and capacity expansion [1][12]. Conclusion and Outlook - The CDMO sector is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with leading companies likely to maintain double-digit order and revenue growth. Emerging businesses such as TaiGen and CGT are also contributing to new growth. The confidence in performance resilience and certainty is bolstered by the easing of geopolitical risks, and overseas capacity will play a more significant role in future CRO performance [1][13].