Summary of Hesai Technology Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Hesai Technology (HSAI.O / 2525.HK) - Industry: LiDAR solutions for autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) Key Points Investment Rating and Target Price - Coverage initiated with a Buy rating for Hesai-H (2525.HK) and a target price of HK$296.9 [1] - The US listing (HSAI.O) also rated as Buy with an updated target price of US$38.1, increased from US$37.0 [1][2] Valuation Methodology - Target prices based on a PEG valuation methodology reflecting a 92% CAGR for net profit from 2025E to 2027E [1][2] - Increased 2025E PEG multiple from 1.0x to 1.2x due to robust new order wins and favorable policy support for Level 3 autonomous driving [1][2] Policy Support for Autonomous Driving - China's Stable Growth Plan for Auto Sector released on 13-Sep-2025 proposes conditional approval for Level 3 autonomous driving, enhancing road safety and insurance frameworks [2] - This policy is expected to positively impact Hesai by increasing LiDAR penetration and value content per vehicle [2] New Orders and Partnerships - Hesai secured a new LiDAR order from a leading US robotaxi company valued at over US$40 million, with delivery expected by the end of 2026 [4] - HelloRide announced its first Robotaxi, Hello Robot1, utilizing eight LiDARs from Hesai, with mass production slated for 2026E and plans to deploy 50,000 units by 2027E [3] Risks - Key risks identified include: - Rising competition in the LiDAR market [11][19] - Potential product defects affecting market adoption [11][19] - Increases in raw material costs [11][19] - Lower-than-expected penetration of LiDAR/ADAS technologies [11][19] - Price wars impacting average selling prices [11][19] - Technology and intellectual property risks [11][19] - Regulatory risks [11][19] Financial Performance Expectations - Hesai is expected to achieve profitability starting from 2025E [18][23] - Target price implies 43x/30x P/E for 2026E/2027E [18][23] Conclusion - Hesai Technology is positioned to benefit from strong growth in the LiDAR sector, supported by technological advantages and favorable market conditions, while facing several competitive and operational risks.
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2025-09-22 01:00