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兴证电新:固态电池设备:产业化逐渐清晰,固态电池设备受益
2025-09-28 14:57

Summary of the Conference Call on Solid-State Battery Equipment Industry Industry Overview - Industry: Solid-State Battery Equipment - Key Analysts: Wang Shuai, Li Feng, Wu Shenghao, Sun Zhaoxu [1] Key Points Lithium Battery Market - By 2025, demand for lithium batteries in new energy vehicles and energy storage is expected to grow steadily. However, the industry faces an oversupply situation due to previous rapid capacity expansion, leading to sustained pressure on profitability for two years [3][3]. - Current signs indicate a price bottoming out and a slowdown in capacity expansion, which are positive for the market. The industry is showing signs of stabilization and potential upward elasticity in profitability as companies implement cost reduction and efficiency measures [3][3]. - New technologies like solid-state batteries are accelerating, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape. Companies with advantages in new technology may see a rebound first [3][3]. Solid-State Battery Development - The commercialization of solid-state batteries is expected to accelerate by 2025, driven by their high energy density, excellent safety, and adaptability to wide temperature ranges. They are likely to replace existing liquid lithium batteries in various applications and open new markets such as drones, robotics, and data centers [3][3]. - The solid-state battery supply chain is expected to see collaborative breakthroughs across various segments, including mature preparation processes for solid electrolytes and new electrode materials, leading to significant cost reductions [3][3]. - The initial phase of solid-state battery production will focus on dry electrode equipment and static pressure equipment, with increasing importance on post-processing stages as the industry matures [3][3]. Investment Recommendations - Focus on leading battery equipment manufacturers and companies with comprehensive R&D and production capabilities in solid-state batteries, such as XianDao Intelligent, Yinghe Technology, and HaiMuXing [3][3]. - Attention should also be given to companies innovating in dry coating and mixing processes, such as NaKonoer and HongGong Technology, as dry processes are expected to dominate future developments [3][3]. - As the solid-state battery trend becomes clearer, suppliers of post-processing equipment are likely to benefit, with companies like HangKe Technology and HuaZi Technology being noteworthy [3][3]. Risks - Potential risks include policy effects falling short of expectations, lower-than-expected downstream demand, unexpected fluctuations in raw material prices, macroeconomic volatility, and slower-than-expected technological advancements [3][3]. Additional Insights - The new national standard for power batteries mandates that they must not catch fire or explode, which will enhance the focus on battery safety and likely accelerate the adoption of solid-state batteries [6][9]. - Solid-state batteries significantly outperform liquid batteries in terms of thermal runaway temperatures, with solid electrolytes showing much higher thresholds for thermal stability [9][9]. - The production process for solid-state batteries involves significant changes in equipment and technology, particularly in the front-end processes of mixing, coating, and rolling, which are critical for achieving high energy density and cycle life [39][58]. Conclusion The solid-state battery equipment industry is poised for growth, driven by technological advancements and increasing safety standards. Investment opportunities exist in leading equipment manufacturers and those innovating in production processes. However, potential risks must be carefully monitored as the industry evolves.