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Carnival (CCL) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record revenues, yields, operating income, EBITDA, and customer deposits, with net income reaching an all-time high of $2 billion, surpassing pre-pandemic levels by nearly 10% [7][20]. - Operating income and EBITDA reached the highest levels in nearly 20 years, despite a 2.5% lower capacity compared to the previous year [7][9]. - Yields increased by 4.6% on a same-ship basis, exceeding guidance due to strong close-in demand and onboard spending [9][21]. - The return on invested capital (ROIC) was reported at 13%, the first time reaching the teens since 2007 [9][27]. - The net debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 3.6 times, moving closer to investment-grade metrics [9][27]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Customer deposits reached a record $7.1 billion, up over $300 million year-over-year, driven by higher ticket pricing and increased sales of pre-cruise onboard revenue items [22]. - Cruise costs without fuel per available lower berth day (ALBD) increased by 5.5% compared to the prior year, but this was better than guidance due to cost-saving initiatives [21][24]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Booking trends have improved significantly, with nearly half of 2026 already booked at higher prices, indicating strong demand [10][25]. - The company expects 2.8 million guests to visit the new destination, Celebration Key, next year, enhancing utilization rates [13][16]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on increasing same-ship yields and closing the value gap with land-based alternatives, aiming to push margins and returns higher over time [10][19]. - The successful launch of Celebration Key is expected to drive future growth, with plans for further development in Caribbean destinations [11][14]. - The company is also investing in its brands and assets, with a focus on improving operational performance and capitalizing on high-return opportunities [17][18]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the future, citing strong operational execution and improved booking trends as key drivers for growth [10][19]. - The company anticipates a favorable environment for 2026, with no significant capacity growth and a focus on optimizing operations to mitigate cost headwinds [25][55]. - Management highlighted the importance of diversifying offerings and enhancing guest experiences to maintain competitive advantages in key markets [102][103]. Other Important Information - The company has been actively refinancing to reduce interest expenses and strengthen its capital structure, with over $11 billion of debt refinanced at favorable rates [27][28]. - The company plans to return capital to shareholders as leverage metrics improve, with discussions around reinstating dividends and potential buybacks [75][76]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on forward booking prices - Management confirmed that both North America and Europe are at historical record high pricing levels, with no dramatic changes from the previous quarter [33][34]. Question: Impact of Celebration Key on ticket prices - Management indicated that Celebration Key is positively impacting ticket prices, with early operations meeting expectations [35][37]. Question: Consumer behavior shifts - Management noted that they are not seeing significant shifts in consumer behavior, with strong bookings continuing across various brands [43][44]. Question: 2026 booking strategy - Management expressed confidence in the 2026 booking strategy, emphasizing the importance of optimizing operations based on past learnings [46][55]. Question: 2027 bookings and dry dock plans - Management indicated that 2027 bookings are off to an unprecedented start, with plans for fewer dry dock days compared to 2026 [51][95]. Question: Capital return strategy - Management discussed the potential for returning capital to shareholders, emphasizing the importance of reinstating dividends while also considering buybacks [71][75].