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玖龙纸业20251006
2025-10-09 02:00

Summary of Jiulong Paper Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - Jiulong Paper's sales remained strong, with sales exceeding 2 million tons in both July and August, maintaining low inventory levels [2][4] - The industry is shifting from price competition to quality competition, benefiting leading companies like Jiulong Paper [2][4] - Finished paper prices have started to rise more than waste paper prices, indicating a positive seasonal trend [2][5] Company Performance - Jiulong Paper's overall profitability has remained stable despite challenges in the cultural paper market, where profit per ton has decreased [2][7] - The white card paper business has reached breakeven, with total capacity expected to exceed 3 million tons [2][8] - The growth in profitability in the first half of 2025 is primarily attributed to the development of the wood pulp business, with significant contributions from the Beihai and Hubei bases [2][10] Financial Metrics - The average cost of pulp production is below 3,000 RMB per ton, with plans to stop purchasing external wood pulp by 2026 [3][20] - The company has seen a decrease in profit margins for cultural paper, with profit per ton dropping from 700-800 RMB to 500-600 RMB [7] - The profitability of card and corrugated paper products is similar, around 80-90 RMB per ton [21] Future Outlook - The cultural paper market is expected to remain under pressure until the end of 2025, despite efforts to increase export orders [2][7] - The Beihai and Hubei bases are projected to continue ramping up production in the second half of 2025, with profitability expected to be demonstrated in FY26 [11] - The company plans to invest approximately 75-80 billion RMB in three new pulp lines, with a significant portion of the capital expenditure allocated for existing projects [12][13] Cost Management - Jiulong Paper has implemented measures to control financial costs, including repaying perpetual bonds and issuing new bonds at lower interest rates [25] - The company is also considering various options for handling its perpetual bonds, with a decision expected in 2026 [26] Management Changes - Recent management changes include the resignation of the chairman's son and the chairman's niece, who were involved in government relations and financial matters [27] Key Challenges - The cultural paper market faces challenges due to slow economic recovery and increased production capacity [2][7] - The company is dealing with external pressures from rising waste paper costs and competition in the market [4][5] Conclusion - Jiulong Paper is navigating a complex market landscape with a focus on quality competition and strategic investments in production capacity, while managing costs and addressing challenges in specific product segments.