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Han's LaserHan's Laser(SZ:002008)2025-10-09 02:00

Summary of Han's Laser Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Han's Laser (002008.SZ) - Industry: Industrial Laser Equipment - Current Rating: Upgraded from Equal-weight to Overweight - Price Target: Increased from Rmb23.50 to Rmb48.00 Key Industry Insights - PCB Equipment Demand: Strong growth momentum in the PCB business, driven by accelerated capex expansion among Chinese PCB manufacturers due to robust demand from AI servers [2][28] - Market Share: Han's Laser holds approximately 7% global market share in PCB equipment and around 20% in drilling equipment as of 2024, with potential for further growth [2][3] - Technology Adoption: Anticipated increase in laser drilling adoption for PCBs, particularly for HDI and multilayer boards, essential for AI servers [3] Financial Performance and Projections - Revenue Growth: Revenue estimates raised by 4%/14%/22% for 2025/26/27, reflecting stronger-than-expected PCB business [28] - Net Profit Estimates: Revised NP estimates increased by 3%/11%/36% for 2025/26/27 [28] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): Projected EPS for 2025 is Rmb1.00, with further increases expected in subsequent years [6][28] Strategic Developments - Product Mix Improvement: Higher blended average selling prices (ASP) due to a favorable product/client mix, particularly in high-end PCB products [2] - 3C Business Growth: Anticipated growth driver from the 3C business in 2026, particularly with the launch of Apple's foldable phone [4][43] Risks and Challenges - Capex Expectations: Risks include potential lower-than-expected capex from Tier 2 PCB manufacturers [30] - New Energy Business: Possible impairments from the new energy segment could impact overall profitability [30] - Demand Fluctuations: Risks associated with 3C equipment demand falling below expectations [30] Market Dynamics - Global PCB Industry Growth: Expected to accelerate to a 6% CAGR from 2024-2029, driven by demand from various sectors including servers and automotive electronics [8] - Specialized PCB Equipment Growth: Anticipated growth of 9% CAGR from 2024-2029 amid continuous technology iterations [10] Conclusion - Han's Laser is positioned to benefit from structural tailwinds in the PCB equipment market, with significant growth potential driven by advancements in technology and increasing demand from key clients. The company's strategic focus on high-end products and expansion into new business areas, such as 3C equipment, supports a positive outlook for future performance.