EuroDry (NasdaqCM:EDRY) Conference Transcript

EuroDry Ltd. Conference Call Summary Company Overview - EuroDry Ltd. operates ocean-going vessels that transport dry bulk commodities, including major bulks like iron ore, coal, and grains, as well as minor bulks such as steel products and fertilizers [3][4] - The company focuses on mid-sized dry bulk carriers, specifically Supramax to Kamsarmax vessels, ranging from 50,000 to 85,000 deadweight tons [3] - Currently, EuroDry owns 12 vessels, with plans to reduce this to 11 due to the sale of one vessel [4] Fleet and Growth Strategy - The fleet consists of two clusters: a modern/new building cluster and an older Panamax cluster, with a focus on renewing the fleet by replacing older vessels with more fuel-efficient new builds [6][7] - Two new vessels are under construction, expected to be delivered in 2027, with a total cost of approximately $70 million [23] - The company aims to fund growth through a combination of operational cash flow, debt, and equity, while avoiding dilutive share issuances [8][9] Market Insights - The dry bulk market has experienced significant fluctuations, with historical rates exceeding $70,000 for Panamax vessels, followed by a decline post-financial crisis and a recent recovery [10][11] - The fleet under construction has remained low, hovering around 10%, indicating limited supply growth, which could lead to increased charter rates if demand rises [10][12] - China plays a crucial role in the dry bulk market, with its imports of iron ore and grains significantly impacting demand [13][14] Financial Performance and Outlook - EuroDry's current cash flow break-even level is approximately $12,000, with positive cash flow generated when market rates exceed $13,000 [18][21] - The company has about $98 million in debt, with a leverage ratio of roughly 50% [18] - The estimated net asset value (NAV) of the fleet is around $35 to $36 per share, while shares currently trade at $12.5, indicating a significant discount [19][20] Risks and Considerations - The outlook for 2026 is cautiously optimistic, with potential demand growth linked to global reconstruction efforts, particularly in China [29][30] - Risks include geopolitical tensions, environmental regulations, and the potential for increased vessel scrapping due to new regulations [30][31] - The company is actively monitoring market conditions and may consider selling older vessels to enhance liquidity if necessary [27][28] Conclusion - EuroDry Ltd. presents a potential investment opportunity given its current trading discount relative to NAV and the expected recovery in the dry bulk market [20][31]