2025-10-21 13:32Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion centers around the US Media & Telecom industry, particularly focusing on the emerging format of MicroDrama and its implications for traditional long-form content providers like Netflix and Disney [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. Emergence of MicroDrama: MicroDrama consists of short episodes (1-3 minutes) designed for mobile viewing, catering to audiences with shorter attention spans. This format is gaining traction, especially among Gen Z and Millennials, who represent over 80% of users [11][12]. 2. Shift in Audience Behavior: There is a notable shift from long-form content to short-form formats, with traditional platforms facing declining engagement. For instance, Netflix's share of streaming on Connected TV (CTV) dropped from 19% in Q2 2023 to 15% in Q2 2025, largely due to the rise of platforms like YouTube [4][31]. 3. MicroDrama's Role: While MicroDrama is not a complete solution to the challenges faced by legacy platforms, it offers insights into evolving audience preferences. It can enhance engagement and serve as a bridge to attract viewers who prefer on-demand, bite-sized content [3][7][8]. 4. Monetization Potential: MicroDrama apps are experiencing significant growth, with global downloads doubling year-over-year. The U.S. accounts for approximately 50% of global in-app MicroDrama revenues, driven by platforms like DramaBox and ReelShort [15][16]. 5. Engagement Metrics: Average time spent per user on DramaBox increased from 16 minutes to 22 minutes per day, surpassing platforms like Peacock and HBO Max in mobile engagement [16][28]. Additional Important Insights 1. Strategic Opportunities for Legacy Players: Long-form content providers can leverage MicroDrama to enhance the CTV experience, increase mobile engagement, and create lead generation funnels that convert short-form viewers into long-form audiences [32][33][34]. 2. Quality Concerns: While skeptics argue that MicroDrama lacks the quality associated with premium content, there is potential for higher-quality storytelling in this format, which could attract a broader audience [5][8]. 3. Investment Ratings: The report maintains an Outperform rating for Netflix (target price: $1390) and Disney (target price: $129), while assigning Market-Perform ratings to FOXA, CMCSA, and WBD, and an Underperform rating to PSKY [10]. Financial Forecasts - Netflix: Projected revenue growth from $33.723 billion in FY2023 to $51.319 billion in FY2026, with adjusted EPS expected to rise from $12.03 to $35.18 over the same period [44]. - Disney: Expected revenue growth from $88.898 billion in FY2023 to $100.865 billion in FY2026, with adjusted EPS projected to increase from $3.75 to $6.38 [43]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the emerging trends in the media industry and the strategic implications for traditional content providers.