Crown Holdings(CCK) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings for the quarter were $1.85 per share compared to a loss of $1.47 per share in the prior year quarter, with adjusted earnings per share at $2.24 compared to $1.99 in the prior year quarter [3] - Net sales in the quarter increased by 4.2% compared to the prior year, reflecting a 12% increase in shipments across European beverage [4] - Segment income was $490 million in the quarter compared to $472 million in the prior year, indicating year-on-year improvements in segment income, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow [4][5] - Free cash flow improved to $887 million from $668 million in the prior year [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - European beverage posted a record quarter with income 27% above the prior year on the back of 12% volume growth [9] - North American beverage volumes were down 3% in the quarter, with a 5% decline in Brazil and Mexico contributing to this decrease [9][10] - Transit packaging income remained level to the prior year, with increased shipments offsetting the impact of lower equipment activity [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American volumes were mixed, down 3% after a slow start in July and August, but rebounded in September [9] - Latin American volumes were down 5%, primarily due to a 15% volume decline across Brazil and Mexico [9] - European beverage growth was driven by market share gains and substitution, with strong demand noted in the Gulf states [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company achieved its long-term net leverage target of 2.5x and remains committed to a healthy balance sheet while returning excess cash to shareholders [5] - The company is raising its guidance for full-year adjusted EPS to $7.70-$7.80, projecting fourth quarter adjusted EPS to be in the range of $1.65-$1.75 [5][6] - The company is focused on continuous operational improvements and maintaining a strong balance sheet to support shareholder returns [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted limited direct impact from tariffs but remains attentive to indirect effects on global consumer and industrial demand [5] - The company expects the fourth quarter in Brazil to return to growth, supported by government initiatives to lower interest rates [9] - Management expressed confidence in the European market's growth potential, emphasizing that historical growth rates of 4%-5% are expected to continue [18] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $105 million of common stock in the quarter and $314 million year-to-date, returning over $400 million to shareholders this year [4] - The company is monitoring the impact of the Novelis fire on the industry but does not foresee a significant negative impact on its operations [110] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth in Europe and potential concerns - Management indicated that the 12% growth in Europe is not expected to be sustainable quarter after quarter, with historical growth rates around 4%-5% being more realistic [17][18] Question: Americas EBIT outlook and impact from Mexico and Brazil - Management confirmed that the $1 billion EBIT target is still aspirational but achievable this year, with Brazil and Mexico contributing negatively to the Americas beverage segment [26][27] Question: North American beverage volumes and market dynamics - Management noted that the underperformance in North America was primarily due to pruning a complicated customer account, with overall market growth expected to be positive [32][98] Question: Capital allocation and free cash flow for 2026 - Management stated that they expect to maintain a strong cash flow and will responsibly return cash to shareholders, with potential for share buybacks depending on market conditions [90][92] Question: Impact of Novelis fire on the industry - Management indicated that while there is no direct impact on Crown, they are monitoring the situation as it may affect some customers [110]