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Dover(DOV) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 5% in Q3 2025, driven by broad-based shipment growth and strong performance from recent acquisitions [3] - Adjusted EPS rose by 15% in the quarter and 17% year-to-date, with full-year adjusted EPS guidance increased from $9.35 to a range of $9.50 to $9.60 [4] - Consolidated EBITDA margin reached a record 26.1%, up 170 basis points year-over-year [3][4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Engineered Products revenue declined due to lower volumes in vehicle services, but segment profit improved due to cost management and product mix [5] - Clean Energy & Fueling revenue grew 5% organically, supported by strong shipments in clean energy components and recent acquisition of SiteIQ [5] - Imaging & Identification revenue increased by 3% organically, with solid growth in marking and coding business [6] - Pumps & Process Solutions revenue rose by 6% organically, driven by growth in biopharma components and thermal connectors [6] - Climate & Sustainability Technologies experienced a 30% year-to-date decline, but showed signs of recovery with record volumes in CO2 refrigeration systems [7][8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Shipments of door cases are at a 20-year low due to tariff uncertainties, but booking rates have accelerated, indicating potential volume improvement [8] - The company is benefiting from investments in power generation and electricity infrastructure, particularly in data center buildouts [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on high ROI capital projects and targeted footprint optimization to drive productivity and capacity expansions [4] - Continued investment in high-growth markets, which now represent about 20% of the portfolio, is a priority for the company [13] - The company aims to leverage its balance sheet strength for value-creating acquisitions and capital return strategies [4][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed a constructive outlook for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026, despite macroeconomic uncertainties [4] - The company anticipates a recovery in certain capital goods end markets and expects strong performance in Clean Energy & Fueling and Imaging & Identification segments [16][17] - Management noted that no business within the portfolio is forecasting revenue declines for the next year, indicating a positive setup for 2026 [31][49] Other Important Information - Year-to-date free cash flow was $631 million, representing 11% of revenue, with expectations for further increases in Q4 [9] - The company is actively pursuing bolt-on acquisitions and has a healthy deal pipeline, with expectations to close on a couple of deals in the next 12 months [44] Q&A Session Summary Question: Improving bookings cadence and organic growth expectations for 2026 - Management acknowledged a year-over-year reduction in refrigeration impacting organic growth but noted that booking rates have accelerated, which should positively impact revenue in 2026 [23] Question: Thoughts on potential stock buyback - Management indicated that they believe their shares are undervalued and are likely to consider stock buybacks [26] Question: Update on Socora acquisition and deal pipeline - The Socora acquisition is outperforming expectations, and management has an interesting pipeline for potential acquisitions in the next 12 months [44] Question: Order to revenue conversion concerns - Management noted that while orders have been strong, conversion to revenue has been impacted by specific business challenges, but they expect better conversion moving forward [47][48] Question: Growth potential of specific segments - Management highlighted optimism for growth in fueling and clean energy components, with expectations for continued growth in refrigeration and biopharma segments [51]