Carter’s(US:CRI)2025-10-27 13:30Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, the company reported net sales of $758 million, with operating income of $29 million and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.32, compared to EPS of $1.62 in the previous year [4][10] - Year-to-date sales approached $2 billion, with an operating income of $59 million, reflecting a 3% operating margin and year-to-date EPS of $0.75 [4][10] - Adjusted EPS for Q3 was $0.74, down from $1.64 a year ago, with adjusted operating income of $39 million compared to $77 million in the prior year [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. retail net sales grew by 3% in Q3, with a positive 2% comparable sales growth, while U.S. wholesale sales declined, particularly in the Simple Joys brand [11][12] - International segment sales increased by 5%, with strong performance in Mexico, achieving a 16% comparable sales growth [17][18] - The U.S. retail business saw improved inventory management, contributing to better sales performance during key promotional periods [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company faced significant tariff impacts, estimating an annualized incremental impact of $200 to $250 million due to higher tariffs, with a net impact on operating income projected between $25 to $35 million for Q4 [30][31] - The effective duty rate increased to the high 30% range, significantly affecting cost structures [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is undergoing a transformation to enhance productivity, reduce costs, and streamline operations, targeting $45 million in gross savings for 2026 [24][25] - Plans include closing approximately 150 stores in North America, with expectations of sales transfer benefits to nearby stores and e-commerce channels [25][49] - The company aims to focus on core brands and reduce reliance on the Simple Joys brand, which has seen declining demand [16][62] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about returning to sustainable growth, emphasizing the importance of managing tariff impacts through pricing strategies and cost reductions [22][39] - The company is preparing for a strong holiday season, with expectations of low single-digit comparable sales growth in U.S. retail for Q4 [33][34] - Concerns were raised about macroeconomic indicators, including inflation and consumer confidence, which could impact future performance [37][38] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with $184 million in cash and significant borrowing capacity, maintaining a strong balance sheet amid uncertainties [19][20] - The company plans to invest more in demand creation and marketing, with a projected increase of nearly 20% in marketing spend for 2026 [27][28] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is happening with the Simple Joys brand and its future? - Management indicated that the Simple Joys brand is being reduced in significance as they focus on core brands like Carter's and OshKosh B'gosh, which are expected to perform better on platforms like Amazon [41][43][62] Question: Can you elaborate on the expected sales transfer from store closures? - The company expects a 20% sales transfer rate to nearby stores and e-commerce from the 150 stores planned for closure, which generated about $110 million in revenue over the last 12 months [49] Question: What is the confidence level for sales growth in 2026? - Management noted that sales growth will be driven more by pricing than unit sales, with expectations that the entire industry will raise prices in response to tariff challenges [55][71] Question: How will the company manage the impact of tariffs on margins? - The company plans to cover most of the incremental tariff impact through pricing strategies and operational efficiencies, while also monitoring cotton and freight costs [76][80]