Ares Capital(ARCC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP net income per share of $0.57 for Q3 2025, an increase from $0.52 in the prior quarter and a decrease from $0.62 in Q3 2024 [20] - Core earnings per share remained stable at $0.50, consistent with the prior quarter but down from $0.58 a year ago [20] - The company generated $247 million in net realized gains during the third quarter, marking the second highest net realized gain quarter since inception [20][21] - The total portfolio at fair value increased to $28.7 billion, up from $27.9 billion in the previous quarter and $25.9 billion a year ago [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company originated over $3.9 billion in new investment commitments in Q3, a more than 50% increase from the previous quarter [25] - Approximately 60% of third quarter originations were with new borrowers, indicating a shift towards a more active M&A-driven market [26] - The weighted average organic EBITDA growth for portfolio companies was over 10%, significantly higher than the broader market growth rates [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reviewed over $875 billion in estimated transactions over the last 12 months, a record for the company, indicating an expanding market [6] - The non-accrual rate at cost decreased to 1.8%, down 20 basis points from the prior quarter, remaining well below historical averages [31] - The company’s credit spreads remained stable, with new first lien commitments completed at spreads consistent with the prior quarter [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain its current dividend level despite potential headwinds from lower short-term interest rates, supported by a strong balance sheet and spillover income [17][19] - The focus remains on investing in high-quality credits and maintaining rigorous credit standards while being selective in deal flow [34] - The company is leveraging its origination scale to capitalize on new opportunities and enhance its competitive advantages in the market [34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the stability of the economy and the underlying businesses, with no signs indicating a nearing end of the current cycle [56] - The company anticipates continued strong transaction activity levels in Q4, with a backlog reaching a record of $3 billion [33] - Management highlighted that the recent events in the broadly syndicated market could provide opportunities for private credit to gain market share [50] Other Important Information - The company has a significant amount of dry powder, totaling $6.2 billion in liquidity, positioning it well to support existing and new portfolio companies [24] - The fourth quarter 2025 dividend is set at $0.48 per share, extending a record of stable or increasing dividends for 65 consecutive quarters [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Dividend coverage and allocation of capital - Management confirmed that both vehicles will be allocated deals based on available capital math, with expectations for increased junior capital opportunities as transaction activity rises [38][40] Question: Spillover income and dividend support - Management expressed confidence in covering the dividend and noted that spillover income provides additional stability if core earnings temporarily drop below the dividend level [42][44] Question: Industry competition and market dynamics - Management described the competitive environment as consistent with historical trends, noting that recent events have not significantly impacted the competitive landscape [48][49] Question: Underwriting strictness and market signals - Management indicated that underlying EBITDA growth and access to capital are key factors to monitor for potential changes in underwriting strictness [56] Question: Expected pace of exits and portfolio turnover - Management stated that exits typically move in lockstep with overall transaction volume, and the net number is more important to consider [82] Question: Other income and fee arrangements - Management clarified that the high other income was mainly from transaction or amendment-type fees and is not necessarily replicable every quarter [86]