CEMEX(CX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated EBITDA rose sharply, increasing at a double-digit rate, with EBITDA margin expanding by 2.5 percentage points, reaching its highest level for a third quarter since 2020 [6][9][12] - Free cash flow from operations was close to $540 million, an improvement of more than $350 million versus the third quarter of last year, with a free cash flow conversion rate reaching 41% on a trailing 12-month basis [27][29] - Net income performance in the quarter grew by 8% when adjusting for discontinued operations, with record net income of $1.3 billion for the first nine months of the year [9][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Mexico, EBITDA grew 11%, marking an expected inflection point in quarterly performance, with a 33.1% EBITDA margin achieved, the highest level since 2021 [18][20] - The U.S. operations reached record third-quarter EBITDA and EBITDA margin, driven by increased cost efficiencies and higher prices, although volumes for core products declined by 1% [20][21] - The South Central America and Caribbean region posted impressive results, with EBITDA rising by 54% and margin expanding by 6.8 percentage points [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Demand conditions in Mexico are showing signs of improvement, with average daily cement sales volume outperforming historical sequential seasonality patterns [18] - In Europe, high single-digit growth in cement volumes was driven by infrastructure throughout Eastern Europe, with housing activity boosting demand in Spain [24] - The EMEA region continued strong performance, reaching new records in EBITDA and margins, with ready-mix and aggregate volumes expanding by 13% and 1% respectively [24][25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on attaining best-in-class operational excellence and delivering industry-leading shareholder returns, with a strategic framework aimed at enhancing profitability and increasing free cash flow conversion [5][15] - Project Cutting Edge aims for annualized recurring EBITDA savings of $400 million by 2027, with significant progress already made [12][14] - The company is prioritizing small to mid-size acquisitions, reallocating capital to opportunities that are immediately accretive, while divesting non-core markets [15][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the recovery in demand conditions, particularly in Mexico and the U.S., with expectations of low single-digit growth in U.S. demand next year [20][63] - The company anticipates a pickup in infrastructure spending as the government enters its second year in office, which should support profitability in Mexico [20][42] - Management remains cautious about the residential sector in the U.S., expecting continued weakness but potential recovery in 2027 [63] Other Important Information - The company completed the divestment of its operations in Panama at an attractive multiple of about 12x, reallocating part of the proceeds to acquire a majority stake in Couch Aggregates [16] - The company is advancing its decarbonization agenda, having already surpassed the European Cement Association's 2030 consolidated net CO2 emissions target [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Cash conversion expectations for next year and 2027 - Management targets around 45% free cash flow conversion from operations in 2026, with further improvements expected beyond that [33][34] Question: Outlook for Mexico's demand volumes in 2026 - Management expects demand volumes in Mexico to grow by no less than 2.5%-3% in 2026, driven by infrastructure projects [40][41] Question: Breakdown of EBITDA margin expansion in Mexico - The 500 basis points improvement in EBITDA margin was driven by prices, SG&A reductions, and lower variable costs, including a significant decrease in unitary fuel costs [46][47] Question: Industry's approach to CCUS - Management emphasized that while CCUS is important for net zero, it will only be deployed if it is accretive to value creation, focusing on traditional levers for decarbonization first [51][52] Question: Price increase plans for 2026 - Management has not yet sent price increase letters but is optimistic about pricing strategies that will offset input cost inflation in both the U.S. and Europe [54][56] Question: Regional performance differences in the U.S. - Weaker volumes were noted in Florida, California, and Arizona, while growth was seen in Texas, Colorado, and the Mid-South, with strong infrastructure demand expected to continue [60][63] Question: Optimization plans at Balcones in Texas - The use of artificial intelligence at Balcones is expected to lead to significant yield increases and further cement margin improvements [65][66] Question: Urbanization solutions business performance - The decline in revenue and EBITDA is attributed to weakness in residential and infrastructure activity, but core businesses remain integral to the company's strategy [67][68]