The Greenbrier panies(US:GBX)2025-10-28 22:00Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Greenbrier achieved record full-year diluted earnings per share and record core EBITDA, with an aggregate gross margin of nearly 19% and over $265 million in operating cash flow [4][10] - Core diluted earnings per share for Q4 was $1.26, with core EBITDA at $115 million, representing 15% of revenue [17] - Operating income for Q4 was $72 million, nearly 10% of revenue, with an effective tax rate of 36.4% [17] - Return on invested capital was nearly 11%, within the long-term target range of 10% to 14% [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The leasing and fleet management business saw recurring revenue reach nearly $170 million, a 50% increase from $113 million two years ago [12] - The lease fleet grew by about 10% in Fiscal 2025 to just over 17,000 units, with high utilization rates at 98% [12] - New railcar orders in Q4 totaled approximately 2,400 units valued at over $300 million, bringing full-year orders to more than 13,000 units [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The backlog at the end of the year stood at 16,600 units valued at $2.2 billion, reflecting a healthy mix of product types and customers [11] - In North America, freight trends and tariff dynamics are moderating new railcar demand, leading fleet owners to extend acquisition timelines [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Greenbrier is focused on operational excellence, innovation, and responsible growth, with a goal of doubling recurring revenues by Fiscal 2028 [7][9] - The company is undergoing footprint rationalization in Europe, expecting annualized savings of $20 million without impacting production capacity [6][12] - The integration of manufacturing and leasing is a key feature of Greenbrier's model, providing stability and efficiency [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views the current market conditions as an opportunity to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs [10] - The company anticipates a stronger second half of Fiscal 2026, driven by backlog orders and customer needs [41] - Management expressed confidence in the near-term performance and long-term outlook, emphasizing the resilience of the business model [15] Other Important Information - Greenbrier's liquidity level was over $800 million, the highest in 10 quarters, with more than $305 million in cash [17] - The board declared a dividend of $0.32 per share, marking the 46th consecutive quarterly dividend [18] - Capital expenditures for Fiscal 2026 are expected to be approximately $80 million for manufacturing and roughly $240 million for leasing and fleet management [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook on car builds and market conditions - Management believes they are at the low point of the cycle, with inquiries increasing and a forecast for production ramp-up in the latter half of the year [24][25] Question: Impact of changes in Mexico - The insourcing project in Mexico has been completed, providing benefits to financial results and manufacturing margins [28][29] Question: Facility rationalization in Europe - Greenbrier will consolidate production into fewer facilities while maintaining the same production capacity [32][36] Question: First quarter outlook - Management expects Q1 and Q2 of Fiscal 2026 to have similar production rates as Q4 of Fiscal 2025, with a ramp-up anticipated in the second half [41][47] Question: Balance sheet and leasing business funding - The strategy remains to add about $300 million net each year to the lease fleet, with a robust secondary market for opportunities [54][55] Question: Competitive landscape in new car builds - Pricing pressure exists in commoditized markets, while specialty cars maintain good discipline in pricing [62]