Noble plc(NE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $254 million, with a margin of 32%, reflecting a sequential decline due to several rigs rolling off contract [14][16] - Free cash flow for Q3 was $139 million, excluding $87 million in disposal proceeds from the sale of rigs [14][15] - The cash balance at the end of the quarter increased to $478 million, up $140 million from the previous quarter [14][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Contract drilling services revenue for Q3 totaled $798 million, which was lower sequentially [14] - The backlog increased to $7 billion, with significant contributions from contract extensions and new awards [7][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The committed UDW rig count is approximately 100, with marketed utilization slightly above 90%, indicating a slight improvement compared to recent quarters [10] - Deepwater contracting momentum is on an uptrend, with an average of 18 UDW rig years per quarter fixed in Q2 and Q3, up 10% compared to the previous two years [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a robust return of capital program and a prudent balance sheet position while navigating through a mid-cycle lull [4][19] - There is an emphasis on securing additional contracts to achieve 90%-100% contract coverage across high-spec drillships by the second half of 2026 [11][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding a tightening deepwater market by late 2026 and early 2027, despite some slippage in program start dates [20][22] - The company is closely monitoring customer budget announcements, which have been less inspiring, but sees resilience in rig contracting activity [22][72] Other Important Information - The company plans to provide 2026 guidance in the next quarter's earnings call [16] - There are anticipated additional outlays of up to $135 million related to the termination of BOP service and lease contracts, which will be offset by annual savings of approximately $45 million [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on improving utilization for high-spec floater fleet - Management is optimistic about securing contracts for the Noble Viking, Jerry DeSouza, and Black Rhino, with ongoing discussions [25] Question: Details on Diamond Offshore BOP leases - The service agreement has been terminated, with a $35 million payment expected in Q4, and a maximum of $135 million in cash outlay anticipated [26][27] Question: Expectations for first half of 2026 - Management indicated that there is limited work expected in the first half of 2026, with a more favorable outlook for the second half [40][41] Question: Confidence in deepwater utilization recovery - Confidence is based on existing contracts and ongoing discussions, with a belief that day rates have bottomed [42][43] Question: Market conditions in West Africa - Management noted that West Africa is a long-cycle region, with demand expected to improve in the coming years [71][72] Question: Cost rationalization efforts - The company is realizing incremental cost savings as activity slows, with a focus on maintaining efficiency [76]