Ternium(US:TX)2025-10-29 13:32Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, Ternium reported an increase in EBITDA driven by a decreasing cost per ton, with cash generation exceeding half a billion dollars during the quarter [5][13] - The net result for Q3 2025 was a loss of $270 million, primarily due to a $405 million non-cash loss related to the write-down of deferred tax assets at Usiminas [13][14] - Adjusted EBITDA is expected to decline slightly in Q4 2025 due to seasonal slowdowns, but adjusted EBITDA margin should remain consistent with the previous quarter [13][40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Steel segment shipments increased, particularly in Mexico and Brazil, although lower volumes were noted in other markets [16][17] - The mining segment experienced a decline in net sales due to lower iron ore shipments and increased costs per ton in one of the Mexican operations [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Mexico, steel demand has been significantly impacted by U.S. trade policies, with apparent consumption expected to decrease by 10% in 2025 [8][46] - Brazil's steel environment remains healthy with a projected 5% growth in apparent steel demand in 2025, despite challenges from unfairly traded imports [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Ternium is focused on strengthening its market position through ongoing optimization and cost reductions, particularly in response to the evolving global trade environment [11][12] - The company supports policies that promote regional integration and fair competition within the USMCA framework [6][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the uncertainty in the business environment due to ongoing changes in U.S. tariff frameworks and emphasized the importance of the USMCA [5][6] - There is optimism regarding potential structural reforms in Argentina that could enhance competitiveness and growth opportunities in the steel industry [10][46] Other Important Information - Ternium's board declared an interim dividend of $0.90 per ADS, maintaining the same payment level as the previous year [5][20] - The company received the Steel Award for Excellence in Sustainability for its renewable energy initiative in Argentina [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: What strategic opportunities arise from the recent elections in Argentina? - Management indicated that the elections may lead to structural reforms that could enhance competitiveness in the industry, but current ownership structure simplification is not a priority [22][23] Question: What is Ternium's plan if the U.S. maintains melt and pour conditions for steel products? - The company plans to continue with its investment strategy, focusing on increasing production capacity to meet regional demands [27][28] Question: What is the cash cost outlook for Q4? - Management expects further improvements in cash costs across operations, with a slight decrease in prices anticipated in Mexico and Argentina [35][40] Question: What is the outlook for demand in Mexico for 2026? - Demand is expected to recover by 4% in 2026, driven by infrastructure growth and stabilization in trade relations with the U.S. [46][48] Question: What is the status of the Pesquería project? - The new galvanized line is set to start production in December, with the overall project on track and within budget [68] Question: What are the expectations for EBITDA per ton in 2026? - Management aims for an EBITDA margin of around 10% entering 2026, with ongoing efforts to improve margins despite uncertainties in trade negotiations [74][79]