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WEC Energy(WEC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
WEC EnergyWEC Energy(US:WEC)2025-10-30 19:00

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported third quarter 2025 earnings of $0.83 per share, which is $0.10 higher than the adjusted earnings for the same period in 2024 [4][17] - The earnings guidance for 2025 remains reaffirmed at a range of $5.17 to $5.27 per share [5][21] - Weather positively impacted earnings by approximately $0.01 compared to last year, with a favorable impact of $0.03 in 2025 versus $0.02 in 2024 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Utility operations earnings increased by $0.12 compared to third quarter 2024 adjusted earnings [18] - Retail electric deliveries, excluding the iron ore mine, saw a 1.8% increase compared to 2024, driven by a 2.9% growth in the large commercial and industrial segment [19] - Earnings from the Corporate and Other segment decreased by $0.11, primarily due to tax timing and higher interest expenses [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wisconsin's unemployment rate stands at 3.1%, which is below the national average, supporting economic development [9] - The company expects electric demand to grow by 3.4 gigawatts between 2026 and 2030, an increase of 1.6 gigawatts compared to the prior plan [6][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to invest $36.5 billion in capital projects between 2026 and 2030, which is an increase of $8.5 billion from the previous five-year plan [9][10] - The updated capital plan anticipates asset-based growth at an average rate of just over 11% per year [10] - The company will utilize an all-of-the-above approach for generation, investing in natural gas, batteries, and renewables [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the economic development and load growth in Wisconsin, which is the foundation of the new five-year plan [24] - The long-term projected earnings per share growth is expected to be 7% to 8% annually on a compound basis between 2026 and 2030 [10][22] - Management noted that the growth from large customers is fostering small commercial and residential development throughout the service territory [8] Other Important Information - The company expects to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 65% to 70% of earnings, with a growth rate of 6.5% to 7% consistent with past practices [25] - The proposed very large customer tariff is under review, designed to meet the needs of large customers while protecting other customers [14][15] Q&A Session Summary Question: On the updated growth outlook and its back-end loading - Management explained that the growth is expected to ramp up in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 7% to 8% in the outer years [29][31] Question: Timing around Point Beach conversations with NextEra - Conversations are ongoing, but may shift further out; no capital is assumed in the current plan for potential replacements [34][35] Question: Microsoft expansion and its impact on the plan - Management expressed confidence in growth in Southeastern Wisconsin, with Microsoft’s data center potentially scaling up to 2 gigawatts [40][41] Question: Clarification on capital plan increase - The increase in capital plan is primarily due to additional investments in regulated electric generation and transmission [12][22] Question: Engagement with other potential customers - Management confirmed ongoing discussions with other customers but emphasized that Microsoft and Vantage are the main focus currently [95][96] Question: Impact of the very large customer tariff on customer rates - The tariff is designed to ensure large customers pay their fair share without subsidizing other customers [89][90]