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WEC Energy(WEC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported third quarter 2025 earnings of $0.83 per share, which is one cent higher than the adjusted earnings for the same period in 2024 [3][12] - The earnings guidance for 2025 remains reaffirmed at a range of $5.17 to $5.27 per share, assuming normal weather conditions for the remainder of the year [3][15] - The utility operations contributed $0.12 more to earnings compared to third quarter 2024 adjusted earnings, with weather positively impacting earnings by about $0.01 [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Weather-normal retail electric deliveries increased by 1.8% compared to the third quarter of 2024, driven by a 2.9% growth in the large commercial and industrial segment [13] - Earnings from the American Transmission Company segment contributed an incremental $0.02 to Q3 earnings versus 2024 [14] - Earnings from corporate and other segments decreased by $0.11, primarily due to tax timing and higher interest expenses [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wisconsin's unemployment rate stands at 3.1%, which is below the national average, supporting economic growth in the region [6] - The company expects electric demand to grow by 3.4 GW between 2026 and 2030, an increase of 1.6 GW compared to the prior plan [4][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to invest $36.5 billion in capital projects between 2026 and 2030, which is an increase of $8.5 billion from the previous five-year plan, representing over a 30% increase [6][8] - The updated capital plan anticipates an average asset base growth rate of just over 11% per year, supporting long-term projected earnings per share growth of 7% to 8% annually from 2026 to 2030 [6][17] - The company is focusing on an all-of-the-above approach for generation, investing in natural gas, batteries, and renewables to support economic growth and reliability [7][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the company's future and investment opportunities, citing strong economic development and load growth in Wisconsin as the foundation for the new five-year plan [17][18] - The management team highlighted that the growth from large customers is fostering small commercial and residential development throughout the service territory [5][6] Other Important Information - The company plans to file a rate case in Wisconsin for its biannual process, looking at inflation-type increases, but ensuring that costs from hyperscalers do not affect other customers [70] - The Very Large Customer tariff is designed to ensure that large customers pay their fair share without subsidizing other customers [10][52] Q&A Session Summary Question: On the updated growth outlook and back-end loading - Management explained that the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) will ramp up post-2027, with expectations of 7% to 8% growth in the outer years [20][21] Question: Timing around Point Beach conversations with NextEra - Conversations are ongoing, but may be shifting further out, with no capital included in the current plan for potential capacity replacement [23] Question: Microsoft expansion and its impact on the plan - Management confirmed that the growth in Southeastern Wisconsin is largely driven by data center projects, including Microsoft and Vantage Data Centers [27][28] Question: Clarification on capital plan increase - The increase in capital plan is primarily due to investments in regulated electric generation, transmission, and distribution [7][9] Question: Impact of Illinois legislation on growth - Management indicated that the Illinois legislation is being monitored, but does not expect it to have a significant effect on the company [32] Question: Future growth opportunities beyond the current plan - Management sees potential for additional growth both within the current five-year plan and beyond, depending on customer development [73]