全球资本支出调查 - 数据中心和基础设施占主导

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co. Ltd (China) [7] - MediaTek Inc. (Taiwan) [5][6] - EDP/EDPR (Portugal) [4] - Minth (China) [8] - Antofagasta (United Kingdom) [12] - Scentre Group (Australia) [13][14] Core Insights and Arguments Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co. Ltd - Management reaffirmed full-year guidance despite underwhelming 3Q25 results, citing NEV drag and margin pressure [7] - Expecting approximately 20% year-over-year sales growth in both 4Q25 and 2026, driven by product expansion and overseas market penetration [7] - Introduction of Digital Energy Solutions as a strategic growth engine, enhancing focus on energy storage and digitalization [7] MediaTek Inc. - Anticipated 3Q25 revenues to be in line with expectations, with 4Q25 guidance expected to be flat to slightly down due to seasonal corrections [6] - The stock has underperformed recently, down 9% compared to TWSE's 18% increase, attributed to weaker ASIC expectations [6] - Key positive catalysts include resetting ASIC revenue expectations and potential breakthroughs with new projects [6] EDP/EDPR - Downgraded EDP from Overweight to Neutral due to limited upside after a 49.7% YTD total return [4] - Concerns over overestimated earnings growth expectations for EDPR and conservative guidance from management [4] - Estimated 2028E net income for EDP at €1.43 billion, with potential conservative guidance leading to profit-taking [4] Minth - Share price surged 143% YTD, with a recent correction of 14% due to share sales and geopolitical tensions [8] - Earnings forecast raised by 14-23% for 2026/27, reflecting stronger expectations in battery housing and auto components [8] - Anticipated valuation re-rating driven by new TAM from AI liquid cooling and humanoid robotics [8] Antofagasta - Q3'25 copper production increased by 2%, but sales decreased by 11% due to weather conditions [12] - 2025 copper production guidance lowered to the lower end of the range (660-700kt) [12] - Revised 2025E/26E EBITDA forecasts down by 3% and 7%, respectively, while maintaining an Overweight rating [12] Scentre Group - Placed on Positive Catalyst Watch ahead of FY26 earnings growth guidance, expected to exceed market expectations [13] - Anticipated strong like-for-like NOI growth of 4.0%, driving approximately 7% FFO growth [13] - Favorable conditions for top-tier malls, with minimal vacancy and strong population growth [14] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The global corporate capex survey indicates a bullish outlook for data centers and associated infrastructure, with a projected 10% year-over-year increase in global capex for 2025 [3] - The broader industrial sector is expected to see a 12% year-over-year increase, while sectors like Autos and Chemicals are experiencing declines [3] - Polish banks are expected to show sequential improvement in ROTE, with a projected average of 23.5% for 3Q25 [11] This summary encapsulates the key insights and developments from the conference call records, highlighting the performance and outlook of various companies and industries.