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TotalEnergies(TTE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
TotalEnergiesTotalEnergies(US:TTE)2025-10-30 13:02

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 4% increase in cash flow for Q3 2025 despite a drop in oil prices by more than $10 per barrel year on year [5][10] - Adjusted net income for Q3 2025 remained steady, with a 7% increase in cash flow compared to Q2 2025 and an 11% increase in adjusted net income [15][10] - Return on equity for the 12 months ending September 30th was 14.2%, with ROE close to 12.5% [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hydrocarbon production increased by more than 4% year on year, marking the highest growth quarter so far in 2025 [15][16] - Exploration and Production (E&P) segment generated an adjusted net income of $2.2 billion, up 10% quarter over quarter, with cash flow growth of 6% [16] - Integrated LNG sales were flat quarter over quarter at 10.4 million tonnes, with cash flow of $1.1 billion in line with Q2 2025 [18] - Downstream adjusted net operating income increased by over 30% quarter over quarter to $1.1 billion, with cash flow of $1.7 billion up 11% [22][23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Brent averaged $59 per barrel in Q3 2025, down from $68 per barrel in Q2 2025 [13] - European refining margin improved significantly to $63 per tonne compared to $35 per tonne in Q2 2025, an increase of nearly 80% [14] - Average LNG price decreased to $8.9 per million BTU, down 2% from Q2 2025 [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes a two-pillar strategy focusing on strong production growth in oil and gas and capital discipline [4] - The company plans to grow upstream production by 3% per year through 2030, with over 95% of this production already online or under construction [7][8] - The roadmap to transform ADRs into ordinary shares is expected to enhance trading and market presence in the U.S. [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining cash flow growth despite challenging market conditions, with expectations for continued production growth and reduced net investments [10][11] - The company anticipates a strong fourth quarter, with upstream production expected to grow more than 4% year on year [11] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and indicated that any excess cash flow would be directed towards deleveraging [45] Other Important Information - The company plans to execute $2 billion in divestments, including assets in Nigeria and Norway, with additional projects expected to close in the next year [54] - The company is actively engaging with European leaders regarding competitiveness and energy supply security [56] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on tax issues in France and cash flow growth for 2026 - Management addressed concerns about potential new taxes on share buybacks, emphasizing that the company does not generate significant profits in France and expects reasonable outcomes from ongoing discussions [29][30] - For 2026, management anticipates production growth of over 3% and expects cash flow to grow alongside production, particularly from new projects coming online [32] Question: Ability to capture refining margins and impact of Russian sanctions - Management confirmed that refining margins have improved significantly, with current margins around $100 per tonne, and noted the impact of sanctions on Russian oil trading [36][39] Question: Upstream margin and cash flow allocation - Management indicated that any excess cash flow would be directed towards strengthening the balance sheet rather than increasing buybacks [45] Question: Divestments and European competitiveness letter - Management clarified that the $2 billion in divestments includes several projects, with ongoing discussions for additional sales expected to close next year [54][56]