Xcel Energy(XEL) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Xcel Energy reported GAAP earnings of $0.88 per share for Q3 2025, while ongoing earnings, excluding a non-recurring charge of $290 million, were $1.24 per share [4][16] - Earnings for Q3 2025 decreased slightly from $1.25 per share in Q3 2024, with significant earnings drivers including regulatory outcomes and electric and natural gas sales growth [16][24] - Weather-normalized electric sales increased by 2.5% through Q3 2025, with a forecast of 3% growth for the full year [17][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - O&M expenses increased by $37 million compared to 2024, primarily due to a $25 million rise in health and benefit costs [17] - The company is experiencing strong residential sales growth across all operating companies, particularly in the oil and gas sector in New Mexico [64] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Xcel Energy's residential electricity and natural gas bills have been 28% and 12% below the national average, respectively, over the past five years [9] - The company has connected over 200,000 customers with nearly $300 million in financial resources since 2024, supporting those in need of assistance with energy bills [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Xcel Energy is reaffirming its earnings guidance for 2025 and has introduced an updated five-year infrastructure investment plan totaling $60 billion, aimed at meeting growing energy demand and enhancing system reliability [6][21] - The plan includes investments in renewable generation, natural gas-fired generation, and energy storage, with a focus on reducing wildfire risks and improving resiliency [7][8][21] - The company is leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, with applications in risk modeling and infrastructure maintenance [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving earnings guidance for the 21st consecutive year, highlighting a strong track record in the industry [6] - The company is optimistic about its growth opportunities, particularly in renewable energy and data center contracts, while maintaining a balanced financing strategy [21][22] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and credit metrics amid elevated capital expenditures [66] Other Important Information - Xcel Energy has made significant progress in settling wildfire claims, with a low-end estimated liability of $410 million and approximately $500 million in insurance coverage [20] - The company is actively pursuing renewable resource procurement to capture production tax credits before they expire [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on EPS growth and guidance - Management confirmed that the 9% growth includes 2026 and is based on the midpoint of the current year's guidance [30] Question: Equity content in the capital plan - The $7 billion equity plan is considered from this point forward, with a focus on managing credit metrics [31] Question: Capital expenditure profile and growth rate - Management acknowledged that the capital plan is front-end loaded, with expectations for future opportunities to fill in the back end of the plan [36][40] Question: Load growth outlook across regions - Management noted strong growth in the SPS region driven by the oil and gas sector, while other regions are experiencing shifts in timing for data center loads [63] Question: Equipment availability and supply chain management - Management highlighted proactive measures taken to secure necessary equipment and maintain relationships with suppliers to mitigate supply chain challenges [72][75] Question: Trends in renewable versus gas generation - Management indicated a balanced approach, with significant investments in both renewables and natural gas to ensure system reliability [94]