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BP(BP) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
BPBP(US:BP)2025-11-04 08:00

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported underlying replacement cost profit of $2,200,000,000, with a slight increase compared to the prior quarter [19] - Operating cash flow reached $7,800,000,000, which is $1,500,000,000 higher than the previous quarter [19] - The underlying effective tax rate for the third quarter was 39%, with a full-year expectation of around 40% [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Upstream production increased by approximately 3% quarter on quarter, with upstream plant reliability at around 97% [5] - In the Downstream segment, underlying earnings for the first nine months were about 40% higher than the same period in 2024 [3] - The gas and low carbon energy segment's underlying financial result was broadly flat compared to the previous quarter [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Refining availability was close to 97%, marking the best quarter in twenty years for the current portfolio [5] - The company delivered its highest third quarter on record in customer segments, benefiting from a better margin environment [4] - The oil trading contribution was noted as weak, impacting overall performance [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on growing the Upstream and enhancing its portfolio while maintaining capital discipline [6][29] - A strategic review of the portfolio is underway to maximize returns and grow shareholder value [29] - The company aims to reduce its realized cash breakeven by $3 per barrel by 2027, translating to approximately $1,500,000,000 of pretax operating cash flow [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the operational performance and the strength of the resource base, with significant optionality created through exploration success [29] - The company anticipates reported Upstream production to be broadly flat in the fourth quarter, with slight increases expected in oil production and operations [27] - The leadership team is aligned on performance management and accountability, focusing on delivering targets in the short to medium term [31] Other Important Information - The company announced a dividend of $0.08 per ordinary share and a $750,000,000 share buyback for the third quarter [6][24] - Divestment proceeds from noncontrolling interests in Permian and Eagle Ford Midstream assets are expected to exceed $4,000,000,000 in 2025 [28] - The company has made significant progress towards its four primary targets, including accelerating delivery and maximizing cash flow [4] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for production in the fourth quarter? - The company expects reported Upstream production to be broadly flat, with slight increases in oil production and operations [27] Question: How is the company addressing cost competitiveness? - The company has delivered around $500,000,000 of incremental structural cost reductions, aiming for a four percentage point improvement in total cash cost to gross margin ratio by year-end [12] Question: What are the plans for shareholder distributions? - The company maintains a policy of a resilient dividend and plans to share excess cash through buybacks, with a target of 30% to 40% of operating cash flow over time [25][26]