Telefónica (NYSE:TEF) 2025 Capital Markets Day Transcript
TelefónicaTelefónica(US:TEF)2025-11-04 12:02

Telefónica 2025 Capital Markets Day Summary Company Overview - Company: Telefónica (NYSE: TEF) - Event: 2025 Capital Markets Day - Date: November 04, 2025 Key Industry Insights - Telecom Market Growth: The European communication market is stagnating with expected annual growth of 1.5%, which is equal to or below inflation [18][19] - Customer Preferences: 60% of telco customers prioritize experience over price, necessitating hyper-personalization and digital customer relationships [18] - Cyber Defense Opportunity: Estimated opportunity for telcos in cyber defense in Europe is between EUR 10 billion and EUR 22 billion by 2035 [19] - Investment Needs: Europe requires over EUR 750 billion in tech investment by 2030 to close the technological gap with the U.S. and China [19] Strategic Plan Overview - Plan Name: Transform and Grow Strategic Plan - Timeframe: 2026 to 2030 - Objectives: - Deliver the best digital experience to customers - Strengthen Telefónica's position in Europe and Brazil - Focus on profitable growth to create shareholder value [5][10][23] Strategic Pillars 1. Customer Experience: Improve processes and interactions to enhance customer satisfaction, targeting a net promoter score (NPS) increase of six points by 2028 [25] 2. B2B Expansion: Modernize communication services and expand digital offerings, aiming for B2B revenues to constitute 26% of group revenues by 2028 [26] 3. Technological Capabilities: Invest EUR 32 billion in network optimization from 2026 to 2028 [26] 4. Operating Model Simplification: Reduce operational complexity and improve decision-making speed, targeting a 25% reduction in corporate OPEX by 2027 [27] 5. Talent Development: Focus on reskilling and acquiring talent to support strategic initiatives [27] Financial Guidance - Revenue Growth: Expected compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.5%-2.5% from 2025 to 2028, accelerating to 2.5%-3.5% from 2028 to 2030 [48] - EBITDA Growth: Similar growth expectations as revenue, with stable margins [48] - CAPEX: Decrease from 12.5% of revenue in 2025 to 12% by 2028, further declining to 11% by 2030 [48] - Free Cash Flow: Expected growth of 2.5%-3% to 5% from 2025 to 2028, with a commitment to EUR 2.9 billion to EUR 3 billion in 2026 [53] Capital Allocation Strategy - Dividend Policy: Proposed dividend of EUR 0.30 per share for 2025, with a payout ratio of 40%-60% of free cash flow in 2027 and 2028 [56] - Debt Management: Aim to reduce net debt to EBITDA ratio to 2.5 times by 2028 [54] - M&A Framework: Focus on value-accretive transactions in core markets, with a pragmatic approach to portfolio rotation [58] Conclusion - Vision: Telefónica aims to become a world-class European telco with profitable scale, focusing on customer experience, technological capabilities, and operational efficiency [21][22] - Commitment: The management team is dedicated to executing the Transform and Grow plan, addressing challenges, and seizing opportunities for sustainable growth [60][61]