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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners(CCEP) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, volumes increased by 0.4% and revenue grew by 3.2%, outperforming the first half of the year [9][12] - The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, indicating strong business resilience [4][19] - The NARTD category grew by approximately 6% in value and volume, highlighting the company's competitive position [5][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Coke Zero saw a volume growth of 6.3%, driven by promotional collaborations [9] - Energy drinks, particularly Monster, experienced a significant volume growth of 24% in Q3 and 18% year-to-date [10] - Fanta and Sprite also performed well, with Fanta benefiting from a Halloween campaign and Sprite growing by 4.2% [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a mixed consumer environment across different markets, with growth in the Philippines and GB, but challenges in Germany and Indonesia [12][19] - Away from Home channels showed strong growth, particularly in GB, contributing to overall volume increases [7][12] - The Philippines faced disruptions due to flooding, impacting Q3 volumes, but recovery was noted in September [15][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving profitable growth while balancing premiumization and affordability [5][19] - Investments in technology and infrastructure are ongoing, including a new canning line in Queensland and a new plant in the Philippines [16][17] - The company aims to enhance its market presence through improved distribution and innovative product offerings [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged ongoing consumer affordability challenges but expressed confidence in maintaining pricing strategies and volume growth [22][24] - The company anticipates a return to growth in Indonesia, supported by a new marketing campaign and improved distribution [34][35] - Despite macroeconomic volatility, the company remains optimistic about its mid-term growth objectives, expecting to cycle out of current headwinds [19][60] Other Important Information - A second-half dividend of EUR 1.25 per share was declared, maintaining a payout ratio of approximately 50% [18] - The company is concluding a EUR 1 billion share buyback program in December [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Consumer affordability and its impact on strategy - Management noted that consumer sentiment has remained consistent, with a focus on value pricing and continued volume growth expected into 2026 [22][24] Question: Navigating a softer environment - The company highlighted its investments in revenue and margin growth management as key to navigating challenges, with confidence in maintaining volume and revenue growth [27][29] Question: Performance in Indonesia - Management discussed improvements in the sparkling portfolio and ongoing challenges in the tea segment, with expectations for better performance in 2026 [34][35] Question: Trends in the away-from-home market - The company attributed growth in the away-from-home segment to favorable weather, effective customer strategies, and increased cooler placements [39][40] Question: Growth of energy drinks - Energy drinks, particularly Monster, showed strong growth driven by innovation and core products, with expectations for continued expansion [54][56] Question: Guidance for 2026 - While specific guidance for 2026 was not provided, management expressed confidence in achieving mid-term growth objectives despite technical headwinds [59][60]