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Sempra(SRE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported third quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.11, an increase from $0.89 in the prior period [5][17] - Full year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range is affirmed at $4.30-$4.70, with 2026 EPS guidance at $4.80-$5.30 [5][17] - Third quarter 2025 GAAP earnings were $77 million, or $0.12 per share, compared to $638 million, or $1 per share in the same quarter of 2024 [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sempra California saw a $76 million increase in earnings primarily from higher income tax benefits, offset by higher net interest expense [18] - Sempra Texas reported $45 million of higher equity earnings due to increased invested capital and Oncor's system resiliency plan [19] - Sempra Infrastructure experienced a $26 million increase from higher asset optimization, partially offset by lower transportation results [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Oncor's active load connections increased by over 10% from the prior quarter, with a premise count increase of 16,000 [15] - The Texas 765 transmission expansion is projected to require $32 billion-$35 billion for full buildout, with Oncor's portion expected to exceed 50% [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on lower risk and higher value transmission and distribution investments, particularly in Texas [4] - A significant transaction to sell a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion is expected to improve the business growth profile and unlock reinvestment capital [6][7] - The company aims to fortify its balance sheet and improve credit metrics through strategic capital allocation [6][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing growth in Texas and the potential for substantial capital investment opportunities [20] - The company is tracking several regulatory matters in California that are expected to influence financial results [18] - Management remains optimistic about achieving the 2025 guidance and anticipates strong year-over-year growth [62] Other Important Information - The company is actively engaged in improving community safety and operational excellence, including efforts to enhance the regulatory environment [7] - The ongoing sales process for EcoGas is generating significant interest, with final bids expected before year-end [7] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company viewing balance sheet capacity for increased CapEx at Oncor? - Management indicated that proceeds from the Sempra Infrastructure transaction are expected to eliminate 100% of the common equity previously in the financing plan, fortifying the balance sheet for growth [28][30] Question: What is the status of the base rate review in Texas? - Management confirmed that settlement discussions are ongoing, with a hearing set for November 17th, and expressed confidence in the strength of their case [36][38] Question: What is the expected leakage from the SIP transaction? - Management stated that a 20% leakage is still a good estimate, considering the complexity of the assets involved [44] Question: How does the company view the load growth pipeline in Texas? - Management noted that Oncor's system is expected to double its load by 2030, driven by the state's desire to support the oil and gas industry [54][56] Question: What is the company's approach to equity needs moving forward? - Management indicated that while equity issuance is not off the table, they are focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet and will consider all funding options as needed [96]