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Targa(TRGP) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Targa Resources reported adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 at $1.275 billion, representing a 19% increase year-over-year and a 10% sequential increase [18] - The company expects full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA to be around the top end of the guidance range of $4.65 billion to $4.85 billion [18] - Available liquidity at the end of Q3 was $2.3 billion, with a pro forma consolidated leverage ratio of approximately 3.6x, within the long-term target range of 3x-4x [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Permian natural gas inlet volumes averaged a record 6.6 billion cubic feet per day in Q3, an 11% increase year-over-year [11] - NGL volumes increased by about 180,000 barrels per day compared to the previous year, driven by growth in the Permian [6] - NGL pipeline transportation volumes averaged a record 1.02 million barrels per day, and fractionation volumes averaged 1.13 million barrels per day in Q3 [14][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that October volumes were impacted by producer shut-ins due to low commodity prices and storms, but these volumes have largely returned [11] - The outlook for NGL supply growth remains strong, supported by ongoing projects and expansions in the Permian [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Targa Resources is focused on executing large capital projects while investing in high-return projects to transform into a large investment-grade integrated NGL infrastructure company [9] - The company announced several new growth projects, including the Speedway NGL transportation expansion and the Yeti gas processing plant, to accommodate continued volume growth [7] - The strategy emphasizes maintaining a strong investment-grade balance sheet while increasing common dividends and reducing share count [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued Permian volume growth, supported by customer success and a favorable industry trend of rising gas-to-oil ratios [8] - The company anticipates a durable increase in free cash flow, even in a strong growth environment [9] - Management acknowledged some conservatism in Q4 guidance due to potential headwinds from maintenance and commodity price fluctuations [51] Other Important Information - Targa plans to recommend an increase in the annual common dividend to $5 per share, a 25% increase from the previous level, effective Q1 2026 [19] - The company repurchased $156 million in common shares during Q3, bringing year-to-date repurchases to $642 million [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: How have things unfolded versus original expectations? - Management noted that volumes have largely materialized consistent with or better than initial forecasts, driven by producer performance and some volatility providing additional marketing opportunities [24] Question: What is the outlook for growth in the Permian? - Management expressed confidence in continued growth, supported by bottom-up forecasts from producers and a strong commercial position [27] Question: Can you discuss operational leverage and future expansions? - Management indicated that downstream spending will be modest post-2027, focusing on rateable fracs as projects come online [34] Question: What is the rationale behind recent project announcements? - Management emphasized a capital-efficient approach, leveraging existing volumes and ensuring operational reliability for producers [42] Question: How do you view the competitive landscape in the Permian? - Management acknowledged ongoing competition but highlighted Targa's unique capabilities and strong commercial relationships as key advantages [105]