National Grid(NGG) - 2026 H1 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an underlying operating profit of GBP 2.3 billion, a 13% increase year-on-year, driven by higher regulatory revenues in both the U.K. and U.S. electricity transmission businesses [12][25] - Underlying earnings per share rose by 6% to GBP 29.8, reflecting strong operating performance despite higher finance costs [12][25] - Cash generated from continuing operations increased by 35% to GBP 3.6 billion, attributed to improved profitability and favorable working capital movements [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In U.K. electricity distribution, underlying operating profit decreased by GBP 22 million to GBP 551 million due to lower revenues from Ofgem's real price effects [26][28] - U.K. electricity transmission saw an underlying operating profit increase of GBP 122 million to GBP 846 million, supported by higher allowed revenues [28] - In the U.S., New York's underlying operating profit increased by GBP 167 million to GBP 443 million, driven by higher net revenue from network upgrades [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Capital investment in the first half reached GBP 5.1 billion, a record level and up 12% year-on-year [12][26] - U.K. electricity transmission capital investment increased by 31% to GBP 1.7 billion, reflecting ongoing investments in substations and ASTI projects [28][17] - In New England, capital investment rose by 23% to GBP 1 billion, driven by asset condition improvements and smart meter installations [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a GBP 60 billion capital investment plan aimed at future-proofing networks and meeting growing energy demand [3][6] - There is a commitment to operational excellence and capital discipline, with a target of 10% annual investment growth and 6%-8% underlying earnings per share growth [6][12] - The company is actively engaging with regulators and policymakers to support infrastructure development and accelerate economic growth [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver a compelling investment proposition, supported by strong regulatory backing and policy developments [6][9] - The company is well-prepared for winter, with electricity margins forecasted at around 10%, the highest since 2019 [14] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining momentum and focusing on performance amidst challenges and opportunities in the energy sector [4][5] Other Important Information - The interim dividend declared is GBP 16.35 per share, representing 35% of the previous year's full-year dividend [12][26] - The company has achieved over GBP 100 million in synergy savings six months ahead of target following the U.K. electricity distribution acquisition in 2021 [15][28] - The transition to a more balanced geographical footprint, with over three-quarters of operations now in electricity, reflects a successful portfolio repositioning [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: T3 expectations and dialogue with Ofgem - Management indicated ongoing discussions with Ofgem regarding the investment framework and the need for a higher base return, supported by recent regulatory developments [41][43][44] Question: Net debt guidance and working capital effects - The company provided clarity on net debt guidance, indicating a modest increase due to transaction proceeds and working capital improvements [41][46][47] Question: U.K. electricity distribution operational performance - Management confirmed that operational performance is on track for the year, with expectations to reach closer to 100 basis points by the end of the ED2 period [49][50][51] Question: Sufficiency of allowances for maintenance - Management affirmed that past allowances have been sufficient to maintain network reliability, with a focus on ensuring future regulatory frameworks support necessary capital expenditures [54][55][56] Question: Infrastructure investment and planning regime - Management emphasized the need for stable fiscal and regulatory frameworks to facilitate efficient infrastructure investment across the U.K. [56][57] Question: Update on network windfalls and TOTEX uncertainty - Management clarified that there have been no windfall profits and discussed the expected clarity on TOTEX numbers as new connection offers are issued [59][63][64]