Vistra(VST) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation

Financial Performance & Guidance - Vistra narrowed its 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $57 billion - $59 billion[10] - The company raised and narrowed its 2025 Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth (FCFbG) guidance range to $33 billion - $35 billion[10] - Vistra initiated 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $68 billion - $76 billion[10] - The company also initiated 2026 Adjusted FCFbG guidance range of $3925 billion - $4725 billion[10] - Vistra anticipates a 2027 Adjusted EBITDA Midpoint Opportunity of $74 billion - $78 billion[10] Strategic Initiatives & Market Dynamics - Vistra contracted 1200 MW at the Comanche Peak Nuclear Power Plant site with a 20-year PPA[10] - The company expects to be above the guidance midpoint for the 4th consecutive year[10] - ERCOT and PJM markets are experiencing sustained load growth, with annual peak load growth forecast of at least 3-5% in ERCOT and low-single digits in PJM through 2030[21] Capital Allocation & Shareholder Value - Vistra's board authorized an additional $1 billion in share repurchases expected to be utilized through YE 2027[14] - The company expects cumulative cash uses of ~$34 billion for share repurchases, and common and preferred dividends through YE 2027[34] - Vistra projects ~$4 billion cash still available for allocation from Q4 2025 through YE 2027[35]