Chimera Investment(US:CIM)2025-11-06 14:30Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - GAAP net loss for Q3 2025 was $22 million or $0.27 per share, with GAAP book value at $20.24 per share [11] - Economic return on GAAP book value was negative 1.4% for Q3, while year-to-date return was 8.3% [11] - Economic net interest income for Q3 was $69 million, with a yield on average interest-earning assets of 5.9% and an average cost of funds of 4.5% [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home Express originated $2.4 billion by UPB in Q3, up 36% year-over-year, with expectations of around $1 billion in Q4 originations [9][10] - For 2026, projected originations are between $4 billion and $4.4 billion, with pre-tax earnings of $62 million to $80 million [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The non-QM market share is expected to grow from 1.1% in 2021 to 5.1% or more than $100 billion in 2025, indicating a five-fold increase [5] - Primary mortgage rates declined approximately 35 basis points to 6.32%, leading to a rise in refinance activity [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The acquisition of Home Express for $267 million is aimed at enhancing earnings, diversifying revenue streams, and supporting long-term growth [9][10] - The company is focused on building a balanced and diversified portfolio, reducing reliance on residential credit [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The U.S. economy remains mixed but resilient, with growth supported by non-residential investment and gradual cooling in labor conditions [17] - The Federal Reserve has shifted to a more growth-oriented policy, cutting rates to support employment [17] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with $752 million in total cash and unencumbered assets, up from $561 million at the end of Q2 [12] - The acquisition of Home Express is expected to create synergies and enhance the company's asset management capabilities [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk through the change in book value? - Management explained that the change was due to a lag in the timing of spreads changing in the securitization markets compared to the loan market, along with the steepening yield curve affecting securitized debt more significantly [29][30] Question: What is the update on book value for the quarter? - Management reported a 2.4% increase in book value through October 31 [31] Question: Is Goodwill $120 million from the acquisition? - Management confirmed that the total premium was above the $120 million book value, with ongoing evaluations for purchase accounting [32] Question: How will Home Express's earnings impact dividends? - Management indicated that the board will consider various factors regarding the retention of earnings for growth versus dividend payouts [36][37] Question: What are the near-term expectations for loan retention and securitization? - Management stated the intent to retain loans without disrupting existing partnerships, with expectations of one securitization per quarter [40][42]