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Evergy(EVRG) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.03 per share, a slight increase from $2.02 per share a year ago, driven by a recovery of regulated investments and growth in weather-normalized demand [5][26] - Year-to-date adjusted earnings are $3.41 per share compared to $3.46 per share a year ago, leading to a narrowed 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $3.92-$4.02 per share from the original range of $3.92-$4.12 per share [5][28] - The lower midpoint of guidance is primarily due to weather headwinds impacting results by $0.13 per share [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Weather-normalized demand increased by 2% in the third quarter compared to the previous year, supported by increases in both residential and commercial usage [27] - The recovery of regulated investments contributed an additional $0.11 to EPS, while higher depreciation and interest expenses led to a $0.07 decrease in EPS [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The unemployment rates in Missouri, Kansas, and the Kansas City metro area remain below the national average of 4.3%, supporting robust customer demand in service areas [27] - The company has a strong economic development pipeline with opportunities exceeding 15 GW, indicating a robust backlog relative to its size [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a five-year capital investment plan that includes expected generation investments to meet growing demand and regulatory requirements [9][32] - The strategy emphasizes affordability and competitiveness, with a commitment to maintaining a lower rate trajectory compared to regional peers [21][23] - The company aims to attract large new customers through a proposed large load power service tariff that ensures they pay a fair share of system costs [23][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term outlook, bolstered by economic development opportunities and necessary investments [6][30] - The company anticipates significant load growth driven by large data center projects, with expectations of 4-5% annual load growth through 2029 [31][34] - Management highlighted the importance of collaboration with stakeholders to advance regulatory frameworks that support growth [20][19] Other Important Information - A 4% increase in the quarterly dividend to $2.78 per share was announced, aligning with the updated growth outlook [8] - The company is nearing completion of its 27th refueling outage at Wolf Creek, which generates around 1,200 MW of non-carbon emitting energy [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the priorities for the 2026 Missouri legislative session? - Management indicated that the focus will be on implementing elements of SB4-related rulemakings, with expectations for a lighter legislative calendar in 2026 [40][41] Question: How will the growth rate profile look in the upcoming capital plan? - Management refrained from providing specifics but indicated that the updated financial plan will outline the relationship between load growth and capital investments [42][43] Question: How much competition exists in attracting large loads within the service territory? - Management noted strong collaboration between Kansas and Missouri, with legislative truces in place to mitigate competition for economic development [50][51] Question: How much of the $17.5 billion capital expenditure is subject to typical rate case filings? - Management explained that all investments are subject to reviews, with mechanisms in place to mitigate regulatory lag [52][53] Question: What is the impact of the Lambda data center on sales growth? - Management clarified that the Lambda project is expected to contribute to load growth, with further quantification to be provided in future updates [62][64] Question: What is the status of the LLPS tariff discussions? - Management confirmed a unanimous settlement agreement in Kansas and a partial settlement in Missouri, with decisions expected soon [70][71] Question: How will the financing plan be impacted by new agreements? - Management indicated that cash flows from new customers could significantly improve operations, potentially reducing equity funding needs [84][85]