中国医疗保健-2025 年 10 月中国医院设备招标：同比增长超预期，但后续维持谨慎观点-China Healthcare_ Oct 2025 China hospital equipment bidding_ Higher-than-expected yoy growth, but maintain cautious view onward

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - Industry: Healthcare Equipment in China - Key Insights: The bidding value for hospital equipment in October 2025 showed a higher-than-expected year-on-year (YoY) growth of 16%, attributed to ongoing trade-in programs. However, there was a month-on-month (MoM) decline of 1% compared to September due to the National Day holiday. The outlook for November remains cautious due to a high comparison base from the previous year and lower trade-in program values in 2025 compared to 2024. [1][1][1] Company-Specific Insights United Imaging - Performance: United Imaging reported a strong performance in Q3 2025, with domestic revenue growing 73% YoY and overseas revenue increasing by 81% YoY. Service revenue also grew steadily at 22% YoY. [11][11][11] - Future Expectations: The company anticipates challenges in fully utilizing the trade-in budget for 2025, similar to 2024, but expects the total scale of the 2026 trade-in program to match or exceed 2025 levels. [13][13][13] - Valuation: Currently trading near its median P/E multiple since listing, with significant long-term growth potential expected due to revenue, gross profit margin (GPM), and net profit margin (NPM) growth. [13][13][13] Mindray - Performance: Mindray's core businesses showed mixed results in Q3 2025, with PMLS growing by 2.6%, MI by 1%, and IVD declining by 2.8%. Domestic PMLS revenue decline narrowed to -25% from -57% in the first half of 2025, while overseas sales grew by 14%. [14][14][14] - Future Outlook: The company expects a recovery in revenue in 2026, driven by emerging markets and high-potential products. The IVD industry is expected to continue contracting but at a smaller magnitude than in 2025. [14][14][14] - Investment Thesis: Mindray is positioned for long-term double-digit growth supported by recurring business in China and market share gains in emerging markets. The company is rated as a Buy with a target price of Rmb285. [69][69][69] Key Risks - Mindray: Risks include further impacts from Value-Based Procurement (VBP), lower-than-expected penetration into top-tier hospitals, challenges in entering North American and European markets, patent-related lawsuits, and unexpected changes in trade policies. [75][75][75] - United Imaging: Risks include chip supply chain issues, raw material risks, macroeconomic downturns in China, and potential VBP risks. [76][76][76] Additional Insights - Bidding Trends: The bidding value for various medical devices showed fluctuations, with notable increases in ultrasound (+54% YoY) and CT scanners (+44% YoY) in October 2025, while MRI and PET-CT showed declines of -2% and -64% YoY, respectively. [27][36][38] - Market Dynamics: The healthcare equipment market in China is experiencing a rebound due to increased government funding and a growing market share for domestic manufacturers. [70][70][70] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the performance and outlook of the healthcare equipment industry in China, particularly focusing on United Imaging and Mindray.