Jefferson Capital Inc(US:JCAP)2025-11-13 23:00Financial Performance Highlights - Collections for Q3 2025 were $237 million, up 63% year over year, driven by strong deployment growth [3][9] - Revenue for the quarter was $151 million, reflecting a 36% increase compared to the prior year [3][18] - Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.74, with a cash efficiency ratio of 72.2% [4][13] - LTM-adjusted cash EBITDA reached $727 million, improving leverage to 1.59 times [4][20] Business Line Performance - The Conn's portfolio purchase contributed $50 million to collections for the quarter [9] - Portfolio purchases for the quarter totaled $151 million, up 22% year over year [10] - Estimated remaining collections (ERC) as of September 30 were $2.9 billion, up 27% year over year [10] Market Trends - Elevated delinquency trends across non-mortgage consumer asset classes are creating favorable portfolio supply trends [5][8] - Personal savings levels have decreased to $1.1 trillion, lower than pre-pandemic averages, indicating limited consumer ability to absorb financial hardships [6] - An increase in insolvencies in both the U.S. and Canada has fueled a resurgence in supply of insolvency portfolios [7][8] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company is focused on acquiring dislocated consumer credit assets, with the Blue Stem portfolio purchase expected to close in Q4 2025 [4][14] - The company aims to maintain a competitive advantage through proprietary data and advanced analytical capabilities [12][63] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities due to its specialized expertise in hard-to-value asset classes [17][63] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains bullish on investment opportunities, citing elevated consumer delinquencies and charge-offs as drivers for robust portfolio supply [8][10] - The company expects to continue strong collection performance on existing and future portfolio purchases [10][20] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong liquidity profile to support growth and strategic options [22] Other Important Information - The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.24 per share, representing a 5% annualized yield [23] - The company completed an amendment of its senior secured revolving credit facility, increasing capital commitments to $1 billion [4][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Any details on the seasonality of collections across diversified channels? - Management noted that U.S. collections peak during tax season from February to April, while the fourth quarter typically sees the largest deployments across all geographies [25][28] Question: How should court costs be viewed in the coming quarters? - Management indicated that court costs of $15 million for the quarter may remain elevated, with a run rate expected to be similar for 2026 [29] Question: Any noteworthy trends in the portfolio purchases? - Management highlighted a continuing growth in insolvencies, with elevated opportunities across all asset classes [36] Question: What is the expected cash flow contribution from Blue Stem? - Management confirmed that Blue Stem's cash flows would have a similar rapid pace of collections as Conn's [41] Question: Are there opportunities in the auto sector due to increased delinquencies? - Management acknowledged increased activity in the auto sector, particularly in the non-prime segment [43] Question: What is the outlook for leverage and capital allocation? - Management indicated that leverage could decrease further, with potential changes to dividends or share repurchases being considered [66][68]