netpower(NPWR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
netpowernetpower(US:NPWR)2025-11-14 14:32

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is facing unprecedented demand growth for power, primarily driven by artificial intelligence and data centers, alongside re-onshoring of US manufacturing and growing residential demand for power [5][11]. - The first facility's estimated cost has risen to $1.7 billion, with a projected commercial operation date (COD) of 2030 or 2031, which may increase due to persistent inflation in the energy sector [19][20]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is pivoting towards conventional gas power with post-combustion carbon capture (PCC) technology, which is seen as a more immediate opportunity compared to the long-term oxycombustion technology [20][27]. - The West Texas project aims for a levelized cost of energy (LCOE) below $80 per megawatt hour, while the Northern MISO project targets an LCOE of roughly $100 per megawatt hour [24][36]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. has over 50 years of ultra-low-cost natural gas reserves, positioning it uniquely compared to other countries that may need to pursue new energy forms [12][13]. - The market is increasingly favoring natural gas as a reliable and scalable power source, especially in light of the urgent demand for clean, firm power solutions [8][12]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to transform natural gas into the lowest-cost form of clean, reliable power, focusing on speed to market and actionable opportunities [11][27]. - A partnership with Entropy is being pursued to accelerate the deployment of clean gas projects, leveraging their expertise in PCC technology [24][30]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management emphasizes the urgency of building new generation capacity to meet increasing power demands, particularly for AI and data centers [11][39]. - The company believes that the ability to deploy clean, firm power quickly will be crucial in the current energy landscape, which is seen as an arms race for AI [9][11]. Other Important Information - The company has identified high-quality sites for future projects, which are essential for the economic viability of both NET Power and PCC technologies [17][20]. - The partnership with Entropy is expected to enhance the company's ability to deliver clean power solutions in a timely manner, with plans for joint investment in projects [26][52]. Q&A Session Summary Question: What makes NET Power uniquely positioned to take advantage of this opportunity? - Management highlighted the company's understanding of both power generation and subsurface resources, as well as the strategic locations for deploying PCC technology [42][44]. Question: Why partner with Entropy? - The partnership is based on Entropy's operational experience and proven technology, which allows for the optimization of performance and economic outcomes [49][50]. Question: What is the financing strategy for phase one and follow-on projects? - The financing strategy involves leveraging proven technologies for project financing, reducing the equity capital burden compared to previous NET Power projects [59][61]. Question: What enables the sub-$80 LCOE in the Permian compared to roughly $100 in MISO? - The lower cost in West Texas is attributed to cheaper natural gas and the ability to utilize CO2 for industrial purposes, enhancing the project's economic viability [74][78]. Question: How is the business model evolving from capital light to capital heavy? - The company is focusing on appropriately sizing projects to align with its balance sheet and access to capital, ensuring sustainable growth [82].