2026 年中国经济展望 - 向低通胀缓慢迈进-2026 China Economics Outlook-Slow March to Lowflation

November 16, 2025 09:17 PM GMT 2026 China Economics Outlook Slow March to Lowflation Managed moderation in growth. Reflation is a slow burn, given modest easing, gradual rebalancing, and calibrated anti- involution efforts, keeping 2026 nominal GDP growth below consensus, at 4.1%. 2027 marks the turn from deflation to lowflation. Key Takeaways Growth seen moderating amid lingering deflation: We expect a managed real GDP slowdown; nominal GDP will likely stay subdued at 4.1% in 2026 amid lingering deflation, ...